China Construction Bank Stock Price Prediction

CICHF Stock  USD 0.74  0.01  1.37%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of China Construction's the pink sheet price is roughly 66 suggesting that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of 21st of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling China, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of China Construction's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of China Construction and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from China Construction's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China Construction Bank, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using China Construction hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Construction Bank from the perspective of China Construction response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Construction to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

China Construction after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.74  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out China Construction Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.623.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.703.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.710.760.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Construction. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Construction's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Construction's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Construction Bank.

China Construction After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of China Construction at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Construction or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of China Construction, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

China Construction Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting China Construction's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Construction's historical news coverage. China Construction's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 3.60, respectively. We have considered China Construction's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.74
0.74
After-hype Price
3.60
Upside
China Construction is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Construction Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.

China Construction Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Construction is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Construction backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Construction, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
2.86
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.74
0.74
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

China Construction Hype Timeline

China Construction Bank is currently traded for 0.74. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. China is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on China Construction is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.74. About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.39. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China Construction Bank has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.52. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of June 2022. The firm had 3811:3697 split on the 10th of November 2010. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out China Construction Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

China Construction Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to China Construction's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Construction's future price movements. Getting to know how China Construction's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Construction may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SVNLYSvenska Handelsbanken PK 0.00 0 per month 1.26 (0.06) 1.56 (2.10) 10.17 
ANZGYANZ Group Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.76  0.02  1.79 (1.32) 5.68 
WEBNFWestpac Banking 0.00 0 per month 2.98  0.05  6.13 (5.33) 13.54 
NAUBFNational Australia Bank 0.00 0 per month 2.60  0  3.33 (2.79) 24.71 
ACGBFAgricultural Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.04  2.22 (2.17) 24.29 
BML-PGBank of America 0.00 0 per month 0.51 (0.09) 0.97 (1.00) 2.56 
BML-PJBank of America 0.00 0 per month 0.35 (0.05) 0.85 (0.84) 2.24 
WFC-PYWells Fargo 0.00 0 per month 0.25 (0.10) 0.71 (0.60) 1.97 
BML-PLBank of America 0.00 0 per month 0.32  0.05  0.90 (0.79) 2.91 

China Construction Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About China Construction Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of China Construction stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Construction Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Construction based on analysis of China Construction hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Construction's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Construction's related companies.

Story Coverage note for China Construction

The number of cover stories for China Construction depends on current market conditions and China Construction's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Construction is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Construction's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

China Construction Short Properties

China Construction's future price predictability will typically decrease when China Construction's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China Construction Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding250 B

Complementary Tools for China Pink Sheet analysis

When running China Construction's price analysis, check to measure China Construction's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Construction is operating at the current time. Most of China Construction's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Construction's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Construction's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Construction to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences