Centuria Industrial (Australia) Price Prediction
| CIP Stock | 2.98 0.01 0.34% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
30
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.17 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.18 | Wall Street Target Price 3.5625 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
Using Centuria Industrial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Centuria Industrial Reit from the perspective of Centuria Industrial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Centuria Industrial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Centuria because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Centuria Industrial after-hype prediction price | AUD 2.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Centuria |
Centuria Industrial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Centuria Industrial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Centuria Industrial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Centuria Industrial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Centuria Industrial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Centuria Industrial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Centuria Industrial's historical news coverage. Centuria Industrial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.15 and 3.81, respectively. We have considered Centuria Industrial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Centuria Industrial is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Centuria Industrial Reit is based on 3 months time horizon.
Centuria Industrial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Centuria Industrial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Centuria Industrial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Centuria Industrial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.98 | 2.98 | 0.00 |
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Centuria Industrial Hype Timeline
Centuria Industrial Reit is currently traded for 2.98on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Centuria is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Centuria Industrial is about 9960.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.98. About 51.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.77. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Centuria Industrial Reit last dividend was issued on the 27th of September 2024. The entity had 1:4 split on the 2nd of July 2013. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Centuria Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Centuria Industrial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Centuria Industrial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Centuria Industrial's future price movements. Getting to know how Centuria Industrial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Centuria Industrial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SCG | Scentre Group | 0.01 | 2 per month | 1.03 | (0.05) | 1.78 | (1.93) | 4.87 | |
| VCX | Vicinity Centres Re | (0.02) | 1 per month | 1.32 | (0.10) | 1.75 | (1.86) | 7.72 | |
| CQR | Charter Hall Retail | (0.04) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.66 | (1.92) | 4.51 | |
| CMW | Cromwell Property Group | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.56 | (2.50) | 9.64 | |
| CDP | Carindale Property Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.90 | (0.01) | 1.72 | (1.58) | 5.11 | |
| GDI | GDI Property Group | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.62 | (3.03) | 12.42 |
Centuria Industrial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Centuria price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Centuria using various technical indicators. When you analyze Centuria charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Centuria Industrial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Centuria Industrial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Centuria Industrial Reit, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Centuria Industrial based on analysis of Centuria Industrial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Centuria Industrial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Centuria Industrial's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Centuria Industrial
The number of cover stories for Centuria Industrial depends on current market conditions and Centuria Industrial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Centuria Industrial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Centuria Industrial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Centuria Industrial Short Properties
Centuria Industrial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Centuria Industrial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Centuria Industrial Reit often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Centuria Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Centuria Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 634.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.5 M |
Additional Tools for Centuria Stock Analysis
When running Centuria Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Centuria Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Centuria Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Centuria Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Centuria Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Centuria Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Centuria Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.