Cal Maine (Germany) Price Prediction

CM2 Stock   88.08  1.20  1.34%   
The value of RSI of Cal Maine's the stock price is slightly above 62 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cal, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cal Maine's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cal Maine Foods, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Cal Maine hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cal Maine Foods from the perspective of Cal Maine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cal Maine to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Cal Maine after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 88.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Cal Maine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cal Maine's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.2796.1998.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
92.0094.0696.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
79.9985.2490.49
Details

Cal Maine After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cal Maine at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cal Maine or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cal Maine, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cal Maine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cal Maine's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cal Maine's historical news coverage. Cal Maine's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 86.02 and 90.14, respectively. We have considered Cal Maine's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
88.08
88.08
After-hype Price
90.14
Upside
Cal Maine is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cal Maine Foods is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cal Maine Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cal Maine is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cal Maine backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cal Maine, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.55 
2.08
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
88.08
88.08
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Cal Maine Hype Timeline

Cal Maine Foods is currently traded for 88.08on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cal is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.55%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cal Maine is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 88.08. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Cal Maine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Cal Maine Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cal Maine's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cal Maine's future price movements. Getting to know how Cal Maine's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cal Maine may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Cal Maine Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Cal Maine Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Cal Maine stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cal Maine Foods, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cal Maine based on analysis of Cal Maine hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cal Maine's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cal Maine's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Cal Maine

The number of cover stories for Cal Maine depends on current market conditions and Cal Maine's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cal Maine is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cal Maine's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Cal Maine Short Properties

Cal Maine's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cal Maine's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cal Maine Foods often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cal Maine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cal Maine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.9 M
Dividends Paid6.1 M

Additional Tools for Cal Stock Analysis

When running Cal Maine's price analysis, check to measure Cal Maine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cal Maine is operating at the current time. Most of Cal Maine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cal Maine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cal Maine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cal Maine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.