Creative Media Community Stock Price Prediction
| CMCT Stock | USD 0.25 0.02 8.70% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
25
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.64) | EPS Estimate Next Year (2.41) | Wall Street Target Price 3.921 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.116 |
Using Creative Media hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Creative Media Community from the perspective of Creative Media response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Creative Media to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Creative because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Creative Media after-hype prediction price | USD 0.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Creative |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Creative Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Creative Media After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Creative Media at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Creative Media or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Creative Media, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Creative Media Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Creative Media's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Creative Media's historical news coverage. Creative Media's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 10.19, respectively. We have considered Creative Media's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Creative Media is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Creative Media Community is based on 3 months time horizon.
Creative Media Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Creative Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Creative Media backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Creative Media, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.53 | 9.94 | 0.05 | 0.30 | 5 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.25 | 0.25 | 0.00 |
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Creative Media Hype Timeline
Creative Media Community is currently traded for 0.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.3. Creative is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -2.53%. %. The volatility of related hype on Creative Media is about 8410.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.55. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 3.02. Creative Media Community last dividend was issued on the 25th of September 2024. The entity had 102:100 split on the 25th of September 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Creative Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Creative Media Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Creative Media's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Creative Media's future price movements. Getting to know how Creative Media's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Creative Media may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CUZ | Cousins Properties Incorporated | 0.13 | 7 per month | 0.89 | 0.12 | 1.92 | (1.82) | 5.40 | |
| HIW | Highwoods Properties | (0.74) | 9 per month | 1.14 | (0.04) | 1.84 | (2.16) | 5.78 | |
| DEI | Douglas Emmett | 0.50 | 7 per month | 1.35 | 0.16 | 2.79 | (2.06) | 8.58 | |
| EQC | Equity Commonwealth | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.50 | (0.56) | 3.49 | |
| KRC | Kilroy Realty Corp | 0.89 | 7 per month | 1.34 | 0.08 | 3.71 | (2.85) | 8.91 | |
| EQC-PD | Equity Commonwealth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.09 | (0.45) | 0.32 | (0.32) | 0.93 | |
| OFC | Corporate Office Properties | 0.77 | 2 per month | 1.30 | 0.05 | 3.10 | (2.44) | 6.24 | |
| FSP | Franklin Street Properties | 0.02 | 6 per month | 2.50 | 0.08 | 6.21 | (4.22) | 12.58 | |
| PDM | Piedmont Office Realty | 0.05 | 12 per month | 1.57 | (0.01) | 3.04 | (2.53) | 8.38 | |
| CIO | City Office | (0.31) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.84 | (3.44) | 11.18 | |
| HPP | Hudson Pacific Properties | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 4.21 | (5.70) | 17.20 |
Creative Media Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Creative price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Creative using various technical indicators. When you analyze Creative charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Creative Media Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Creative Media stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Creative Media Community, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Creative Media based on analysis of Creative Media hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Creative Media's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Creative Media's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.16 | 0.29 | 0.45 | 0.48 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.52 | 1.09 | 0.69 | 0.66 |
Story Coverage note for Creative Media
The number of cover stories for Creative Media depends on current market conditions and Creative Media's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Creative Media is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Creative Media's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Creative Media Short Properties
Creative Media's future price predictability will typically decrease when Creative Media's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Creative Media Community often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Creative Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Creative Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.3 M |
Additional Tools for Creative Stock Analysis
When running Creative Media's price analysis, check to measure Creative Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Creative Media is operating at the current time. Most of Creative Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Creative Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Creative Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Creative Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.