Comp SA (Poland) Price Prediction
CMP Stock | 116.00 1.00 0.85% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Comp SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Comp SA from the perspective of Comp SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Comp SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Comp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Comp SA after-hype prediction price | PLN 116.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Comp |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Comp SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Comp SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Comp SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Comp SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Comp SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Comp SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Comp SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Comp SA's historical news coverage. Comp SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 114.48 and 117.52, respectively. We have considered Comp SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Comp SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Comp SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Comp SA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Comp SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Comp SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Comp SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
116.00 | 116.00 | 0.00 |
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Comp SA Hype Timeline
Comp SA is currently traded for 116.00on Warsaw Stock Exchange of Poland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Comp is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Comp SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 116.00. About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.47. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Comp SA last dividend was issued on the 30th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Comp SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Comp SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Comp SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Comp SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Comp SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Comp SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
SLT | Saule Technologies SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 4.84 | (7.89) | 13.48 | |
SPL | Santander Bank Polska | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.97 | (3.09) | 11.50 | |
TOW | Tower Investments SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 5.96 | (7.81) | 44.67 | |
GME | Gremi Media SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 4.72 | (5.26) | 18.59 | |
IBS | Noble Financials SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.36 | (5.87) | 19.25 | |
SWM | SOFTWARE MANSION SPOLKA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.56 | (4.09) | 9.93 |
Comp SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Comp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Comp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Comp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Comp SA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Comp SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Comp SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Comp SA based on analysis of Comp SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Comp SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Comp SA's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Comp SA
The number of cover stories for Comp SA depends on current market conditions and Comp SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Comp SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Comp SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Comp SA Short Properties
Comp SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Comp SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Comp SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Comp SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comp SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.8 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 36 M |
Additional Tools for Comp Stock Analysis
When running Comp SA's price analysis, check to measure Comp SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comp SA is operating at the current time. Most of Comp SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comp SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comp SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comp SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.