Catalyst Media (UK) Price Prediction

CMX Stock   90.00  6.50  6.74%   
At the present time The relative strength momentum indicator of Catalyst Media's share price is above 80 suggesting that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

84

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Catalyst Media's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Catalyst Media and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Catalyst Media's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Catalyst Media Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Catalyst Media's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.518
Using Catalyst Media hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Catalyst Media Group from the perspective of Catalyst Media response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Catalyst Media to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Catalyst because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Catalyst Media after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 90.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Catalyst Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.4978.2299.00
Details

Catalyst Media After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Catalyst Media at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Catalyst Media or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Catalyst Media, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Catalyst Media Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Catalyst Media's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Catalyst Media's historical news coverage. Catalyst Media's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 88.26 and 91.74, respectively. We have considered Catalyst Media's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
90.00
90.00
After-hype Price
91.74
Upside
Catalyst Media is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Catalyst Media Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Catalyst Media Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Catalyst Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Catalyst Media backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Catalyst Media, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
1.74
 0.00  
  0.04 
3 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
90.00
90.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Catalyst Media Hype Timeline

Catalyst Media Group is currently traded for 90.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. Catalyst is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Catalyst Media is about 433.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 89.96. About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.64. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Catalyst Media Group last dividend was issued on the 9th of November 2023. The entity had 1:100 split on the 26th of October 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Catalyst Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Catalyst Media Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Catalyst Media's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Catalyst Media's future price movements. Getting to know how Catalyst Media's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Catalyst Media may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
0UMGUniversal Music Group 0.48 1 per month 3.58 (0.03) 2.36 (2.22) 23.79 
ELLAEcclesiastical Insurance Office(0.50)2 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.11 (1.10) 6.87 
0ROZX FAB Silicon Foundries(0.04)1 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.33 (4.77) 23.44 
PCTPolar Capital Technology(2.50)2 per month 1.15  0.04  2.68 (2.39) 6.70 
0K19Microchip Technology(0.62)3 per month 0.00 (0.14) 4.03 (4.32) 10.54 
0A1OZoom Video Communications 0.97 4 per month 1.36  0.13  3.44 (2.64) 9.20 
RFGRoebuck Food Group 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.05) 0.00  0.00  5.66 
KBTK3 Business Technology(1.00)1 per month 0.00 (0.28) 0.00 (2.17) 9.12 

Catalyst Media Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Catalyst price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Catalyst using various technical indicators. When you analyze Catalyst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Catalyst Media Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Catalyst Media stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Catalyst Media Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Catalyst Media based on analysis of Catalyst Media hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Catalyst Media's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Catalyst Media's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Catalyst Media

The number of cover stories for Catalyst Media depends on current market conditions and Catalyst Media's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Catalyst Media is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Catalyst Media's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Catalyst Media Short Properties

Catalyst Media's future price predictability will typically decrease when Catalyst Media's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Catalyst Media Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Catalyst Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Catalyst Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21 M
Cash And Short Term Investments174.4 K

Complementary Tools for Catalyst Stock analysis

When running Catalyst Media's price analysis, check to measure Catalyst Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Catalyst Media is operating at the current time. Most of Catalyst Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Catalyst Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Catalyst Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Catalyst Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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