Columbia Banking System Stock Price Prediction

COLB Stock  USD 27.41  0.06  0.22%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Columbia Banking's share price is approaching 43 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Columbia Banking, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 43

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Columbia Banking's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Columbia Banking System, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Columbia Banking's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.513
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.63
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.6739
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.8529
Wall Street Target Price
32.0455
Using Columbia Banking hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Columbia Banking System from the perspective of Columbia Banking response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Columbia Banking using Columbia Banking's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Columbia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Columbia Banking's stock price.

Columbia Banking Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Columbia Banking's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Columbia. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Columbia Banking stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
25.0166
Short Percent
0.028
Short Ratio
3.71
Shares Short Prior Month
4.6 M
50 Day MA
28.082

Columbia Banking System Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Columbia Banking's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Columbia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Columbia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Columbia Banking System. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Columbia Banking's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Columbia Banking.

Columbia Banking Implied Volatility

    
  0.71  
Columbia Banking's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Columbia Banking System stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Columbia Banking's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Columbia Banking stock will not fluctuate a lot when Columbia Banking's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Columbia Banking to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Columbia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Columbia Banking after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 27.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Columbia contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Columbia Banking System will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Columbia Banking trading at USD 27.41, that is roughly USD 0.0122 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Columbia Banking's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Columbia Banking System options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Columbia Banking Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.6730.5932.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.4527.2429.03
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.0333.0036.63
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.600.630.66
Details

Columbia Banking After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Columbia Banking at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Columbia Banking or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Columbia Banking, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Columbia Banking Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Columbia Banking's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Columbia Banking's historical news coverage. Columbia Banking's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.64 and 29.22, respectively. We have considered Columbia Banking's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
27.41
27.43
After-hype Price
29.22
Upside
Columbia Banking is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Columbia Banking System is based on 3 months time horizon.

Columbia Banking Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Columbia Banking is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Columbia Banking backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Columbia Banking, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
1.79
  0.02 
  0.02 
8 Events / Month
13 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.41
27.43
0.07 
1,053  
Notes

Columbia Banking Hype Timeline

Columbia Banking System is currently traded for 27.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Columbia is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.43 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Columbia Banking is about 1560.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.43. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.54 B. Net Income was 348.71 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.82 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Columbia Banking Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Columbia Banking Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Columbia Banking's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Columbia Banking's future price movements. Getting to know how Columbia Banking's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Columbia Banking may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GBCIGlacier Bancorp 0.23 6 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.23 (2.11) 8.91 
CVBFCVB Financial 0.29 5 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.77 (2.66) 11.15 
IBTXIndependent Bank Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares 0.37 8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.38 (2.14) 10.19 
FIBKFirst Interstate BancSystem(0.21)9 per month 1.59  0.01  3.13 (2.58) 8.81 
EBMTEagle Bancorp Montana 0.21 7 per month 1.49  0.01  3.02 (2.29) 7.01 
CFFNCapitol Federal Financial 0.15 7 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.55 (2.25) 8.21 
BYByline Bancorp 0.67 8 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.17 (1.86) 9.19 
CATYCathay General Bancorp 0.28 10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.03 (2.69) 9.16 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares 0.23 9 per month 0.00 (0.03) 2.48 (2.17) 6.94 
HFWAHeritage Financial(0.21)9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.72 (3.05) 9.15 
HMNFHMN Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest 0.02 7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 1.17 (1.69) 4.22 
BSRRSierra Bancorp(0.25)7 per month 0.00 (0.03) 2.92 (2.90) 10.03 
FCFFirst Commonwealth Financial 0.06 9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.08 (2.91) 9.74 
FULTFulton Financial(0.24)11 per month 1.37  0  2.84 (2.35) 7.07 
HTBKHeritage Commerce Corp 0.29 6 per month 1.27  0.03  2.77 (1.76) 8.30 
NWBINorthwest Bancshares 0.14 6 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.01 (2.11) 8.75 
FUNCFirst United 0.15 10 per month 0.88  0.14  2.58 (1.68) 11.37 

Columbia Banking Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Columbia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Columbia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Columbia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Columbia Banking Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Columbia Banking stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Columbia Banking System, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Columbia Banking based on analysis of Columbia Banking hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Columbia Banking's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Columbia Banking's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.04680.05190.04670.049
Price To Sales Ratio7.112.922.633.3

Story Coverage note for Columbia Banking

The number of cover stories for Columbia Banking depends on current market conditions and Columbia Banking's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Columbia Banking is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Columbia Banking's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Columbia Banking Short Properties

Columbia Banking's future price predictability will typically decrease when Columbia Banking's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Columbia Banking System often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Columbia Banking's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Columbia Banking's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding195.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.2 B

Complementary Tools for Columbia Stock analysis

When running Columbia Banking's price analysis, check to measure Columbia Banking's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Columbia Banking is operating at the current time. Most of Columbia Banking's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Columbia Banking's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Columbia Banking's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Columbia Banking to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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