COMMERCIAL BANK (Sri Lanka) Price Prediction
| COMBX0000 | LKR 93.30 1.40 1.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
72
Oversold | Overbought |
Using COMMERCIAL BANK hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of COMMERCIAL BANK OF from the perspective of COMMERCIAL BANK response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in COMMERCIAL BANK to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying COMMERCIAL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
COMMERCIAL BANK after-hype prediction price | LKR 93.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
COMMERCIAL |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of COMMERCIAL BANK's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
COMMERCIAL BANK Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of COMMERCIAL BANK at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in COMMERCIAL BANK or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of COMMERCIAL BANK, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
COMMERCIAL BANK Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as COMMERCIAL BANK is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading COMMERCIAL BANK backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with COMMERCIAL BANK, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
93.30 | 93.30 | 0.00 |
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COMMERCIAL BANK Hype Timeline
COMMERCIAL BANK is currently traded for 93.30on Colombo Stock Exchange of Sri Lanka. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. COMMERCIAL is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.49%. %. The volatility of related hype on COMMERCIAL BANK is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 93.30. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out COMMERCIAL BANK Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.COMMERCIAL BANK Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to COMMERCIAL BANK's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict COMMERCIAL BANK's future price movements. Getting to know how COMMERCIAL BANK's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how COMMERCIAL BANK may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| APLAN0000 | ACL Plastics PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.89 | 0.05 | 2.49 | (1.97) | 8.20 | |
| CHLN0000 | Ceylon Hospitals PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.16 | (4.17) | 17.39 | |
| BBHN0000 | Browns Beach Hotels | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.10 | 0.07 | 6.87 | (3.70) | 14.78 | |
| SHOTX0000 | SERENDIB HOTELS PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.94 | 0.09 | 5.75 | (3.81) | 15.87 | |
| LIONN0000 | Lion Brewery Ceylon | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.39 | (0.03) | 4.06 | (3.51) | 10.01 | |
| SIGVN0000 | Sigiriya Village Hotels | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.61 | 0.03 | 3.37 | (4.48) | 12.04 | |
| KHCN0000 | Kandy Hotels | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | 0.04 | 3.85 | (2.44) | 9.14 | |
| PEGN0000 | Pegasus Hotels of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.26 | 0.13 | 5.29 | (3.77) | 13.63 |
COMMERCIAL BANK Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine COMMERCIAL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for COMMERCIAL using various technical indicators. When you analyze COMMERCIAL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About COMMERCIAL BANK Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of COMMERCIAL BANK stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as COMMERCIAL BANK OF, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of COMMERCIAL BANK based on analysis of COMMERCIAL BANK hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to COMMERCIAL BANK's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to COMMERCIAL BANK's related companies.
Story Coverage note for COMMERCIAL BANK
The number of cover stories for COMMERCIAL BANK depends on current market conditions and COMMERCIAL BANK's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that COMMERCIAL BANK is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about COMMERCIAL BANK's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for COMMERCIAL Stock analysis
When running COMMERCIAL BANK's price analysis, check to measure COMMERCIAL BANK's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy COMMERCIAL BANK is operating at the current time. Most of COMMERCIAL BANK's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of COMMERCIAL BANK's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move COMMERCIAL BANK's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of COMMERCIAL BANK to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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