Cosmos Health Stock Price Patterns
| COSM Stock | USD 0.47 0.02 4.08% |
Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Year (0.34) | Wall Street Target Price 4.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.09) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.379 |
Using Cosmos Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cosmos Health from the perspective of Cosmos Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cosmos Health using Cosmos Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cosmos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cosmos Health's stock price.
Cosmos Health Implied Volatility | 0.66 |
Cosmos Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cosmos Health stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cosmos Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cosmos Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cosmos Health's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cosmos Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cosmos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cosmos Health after-hype prediction price | USD 0.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cosmos contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cosmos Health will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0413% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Cosmos Health trading at USD 0.47, that is roughly USD 1.94E-4 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cosmos Health's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cosmos Health options at the current volatility level of 0.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Cosmos Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cosmos Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cosmos Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cosmos Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cosmos Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cosmos Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cosmos Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cosmos Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cosmos Health's historical news coverage. Cosmos Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 6.45, respectively. We have considered Cosmos Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cosmos Health is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cosmos Health is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cosmos Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cosmos Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cosmos Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cosmos Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.67 | 6.02 | 0.02 | 0.09 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.47 | 0.47 | 0.00 |
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Cosmos Health Hype Timeline
Cosmos Health is currently traded for 0.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Cosmos is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.67%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cosmos Health is about 4630.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.38. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.79. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cosmos Health recorded a loss per share of 0.77. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2017. The firm had 1:10 split on the 21st of November 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Cosmos Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cosmos Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cosmos Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cosmos Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Cosmos Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cosmos Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FEMY | Femasys | (0.54) | 11 per month | 6.66 | 0 | 15.00 | (11.11) | 47.42 | |
| SCYX | Scynexis | 0.01 | 10 per month | 2.16 | (0.02) | 5.08 | (4.17) | 21.87 | |
| CLSD | Clearside Biomedical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.49) | 4.21 | (33.33) | 76.91 | |
| LSTA | Lisata Therapeutics | 0.05 | 10 per month | 2.79 | 0.12 | 8.21 | (5.26) | 87.55 | |
| NXGL | Nexgel Inc | (0.54) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 12.42 | (8.18) | 35.89 | |
| MTVA | MetaVia | (0.08) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 11.60 | (20.10) | 79.95 | |
| PASG | Passage Bio | 0.15 | 6 per month | 5.97 | 0.11 | 14.59 | (9.77) | 58.13 | |
| CASI | CASI Pharmaceuticals | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.88 | (7.69) | 32.11 | |
| NCNA | NuCana PLC | (0.28) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.97 | (7.87) | 16.72 | |
| IINN | Inspira Technologies Oxy | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.86 | (6.96) | 24.08 |
Cosmos Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cosmos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cosmos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cosmos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cosmos Health Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cosmos Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cosmos Health, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cosmos Health based on analysis of Cosmos Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cosmos Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cosmos Health's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.44 | 0.38 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.21 | 0.22 |
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Cosmos Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Cosmos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cosmos Health guide.You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Will Health Care Providers & Services sector continue expanding? Could Cosmos diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cosmos Health. Projected growth potential of Cosmos fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Cosmos Health data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.77) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.379 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Cosmos Health using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Cosmos Health's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Cosmos Health's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Cosmos Health's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cosmos Health should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Cosmos Health's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.