Compass Group (UK) Price Prediction
| CPG Stock | 2,649 25.00 0.95% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
71
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.162 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.931 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.0368 | Wall Street Target Price 2.5 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.112 |
Using Compass Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Compass Group PLC from the perspective of Compass Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Compass Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Compass because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Compass Group after-hype prediction price | GBX 2653.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Compass |
Compass Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Compass Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Compass Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Compass Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Compass Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Compass Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Compass Group's historical news coverage. Compass Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2,384 and 2,654, respectively. We have considered Compass Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Compass Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Compass Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Compass Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Compass Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Compass Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Compass Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 0.81 | 4.32 | 0.50 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2,649 | 2,653 | 0.16 |
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Compass Group Hype Timeline
Compass Group PLC is currently traded for 2,649on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 4.32, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.5. Compass is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2653.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 3.38%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Compass Group is about 29.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2,648. The company reported the revenue of 31.03 B. Net Income was 1.83 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.61 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Compass Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Compass Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Compass Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Compass Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Compass Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Compass Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SMSN | Samsung Electronics Co | (2.00) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 3.19 | (4.02) | 13.39 | |
| SMSD | Samsung Electronics Co | 7.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 2.72 | (3.78) | 10.21 | |
| TYT | Toyota Motor Corp | (37.50) | 3 per month | 2.14 | (0.04) | 3.04 | (3.19) | 12.68 | |
| HHPD | Hon Hai Precision | (0.04) | 2 per month | 1.76 | 0.02 | 3.14 | (3.02) | 8.38 | |
| RIGD | Reliance Industries Ltd | 0.1 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.47 | (2.70) | 7.89 | |
| RICO | Ricoh Co | 10.00 | 1 per month | 2.24 | 0.07 | 4.80 | (2.95) | 22.85 | |
| CEIR | Compal Electronics GDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| QLT | Quilter PLC | 0.20 | 4 per month | 1.18 | (0.06) | 1.75 | (2.11) | 6.42 |
Compass Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Compass price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Compass using various technical indicators. When you analyze Compass charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Compass Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Compass Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Compass Group PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Compass Group based on analysis of Compass Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Compass Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Compass Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Compass Group
The number of cover stories for Compass Group depends on current market conditions and Compass Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Compass Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Compass Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Compass Group Short Properties
Compass Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Compass Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Compass Group PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Compass Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compass Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 843 M |
Complementary Tools for Compass Stock analysis
When running Compass Group's price analysis, check to measure Compass Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compass Group is operating at the current time. Most of Compass Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compass Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compass Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compass Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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