Cairn Homes (UK) Price Prediction
| CRN Stock | 173.80 1.20 0.69% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.4 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.1781 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.1969 | Wall Street Target Price 193.05 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.668 |
Using Cairn Homes hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cairn Homes PLC from the perspective of Cairn Homes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cairn Homes to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cairn because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cairn Homes after-hype prediction price | GBX 174.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cairn |
Cairn Homes After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cairn Homes at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cairn Homes or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cairn Homes, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cairn Homes Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cairn Homes' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cairn Homes' historical news coverage. Cairn Homes' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 172.42 and 176.18, respectively. We have considered Cairn Homes' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cairn Homes is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cairn Homes PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cairn Homes Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cairn Homes is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cairn Homes backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cairn Homes, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.88 | 0.50 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
173.80 | 174.30 | 0.29 |
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Cairn Homes Hype Timeline
Cairn Homes PLC is currently traded for 173.80on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Cairn is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 174.3 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 67.14%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Cairn Homes is about 2256.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 173.79. The company reported the revenue of 666.81 M. Net Income was 85.43 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 134.21 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Cairn Homes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cairn Homes Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cairn Homes' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cairn Homes' future price movements. Getting to know how Cairn Homes' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cairn Homes may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TUN | Tungsten West PLC | (0.25) | 2 per month | 5.68 | (0.02) | 15.55 | (10.13) | 36.36 | |
| ARGO | Argo Group Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HDD | Hardide PLC | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.00 | (4.65) | 10.60 | |
| VRS | Versarien PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 7.28 | (11.85) | 52.17 | |
| GFIN | Gfinity PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.80 | 0.07 | 12.00 | (9.79) | 79.07 |
Cairn Homes Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cairn price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cairn using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cairn charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cairn Homes Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cairn Homes stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cairn Homes PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cairn Homes based on analysis of Cairn Homes hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cairn Homes's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cairn Homes's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Cairn Homes
The number of cover stories for Cairn Homes depends on current market conditions and Cairn Homes' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cairn Homes is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cairn Homes' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cairn Homes Short Properties
Cairn Homes' future price predictability will typically decrease when Cairn Homes' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cairn Homes PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cairn Homes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cairn Homes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 678.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Cairn Stock analysis
When running Cairn Homes' price analysis, check to measure Cairn Homes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cairn Homes is operating at the current time. Most of Cairn Homes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cairn Homes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cairn Homes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cairn Homes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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