Costain Group Plc Stock Price Prediction
| CSGQF Stock | USD 1.38 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Costain Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Costain Group PLC from the perspective of Costain Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Costain Group to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Costain because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Costain Group after-hype prediction price | USD 1.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Costain |
Costain Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Costain Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Costain Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Costain Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Costain Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Costain Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Costain Group's historical news coverage. Costain Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.38 and 1.38, respectively. We have considered Costain Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Costain Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Costain Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Costain Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Costain Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Costain Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Costain Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.38 | 1.38 | 0.00 |
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Costain Group Hype Timeline
Costain Group PLC is currently traded for 1.38. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Costain is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Costain Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.38. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.53. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Costain Group PLC recorded a loss per share of 0.03. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of September 2019. The firm had 1:10 split on the 10th of May 2010. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Costain Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Costain Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Costain Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Costain Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Costain Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Costain Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LYOPF | Lycopodium Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.12 | |
| BRAGF | BAUER Aktiengesellschaft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HUKEF | Hokuriku Electrical Construction | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MKOTF | Meiko Trans Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ICHHF | Ichinen Holdings Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ITEGY | Hyve Group PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| XRTEF | Xeros Technology Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SLNH | Soluna Holdings | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 17.32 | (14.14) | 78.89 | |
| ZMTBY | Zumtobel Group AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.81 | |
| JMSFF | James Fisher And | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Costain Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Costain price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Costain using various technical indicators. When you analyze Costain charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Costain Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Costain Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Costain Group PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Costain Group based on analysis of Costain Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Costain Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Costain Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Costain Group
The number of cover stories for Costain Group depends on current market conditions and Costain Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Costain Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Costain Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for Costain Pink Sheet analysis
When running Costain Group's price analysis, check to measure Costain Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Costain Group is operating at the current time. Most of Costain Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Costain Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Costain Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Costain Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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