Constellation Software Stock Price Prediction
| CSU Stock | CAD 4,608 20.38 0.44% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 27.81 | EPS Estimate Current Year 72.85 | EPS Estimate Next Year 93.8555 | Wall Street Target Price 3.4 K |
Using Constellation Software hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Constellation Software from the perspective of Constellation Software response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Constellation Software to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Constellation because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Constellation Software after-hype prediction price | CAD 4583.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Constellation |
Constellation Software After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Constellation Software at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Constellation Software or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Constellation Software, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Constellation Software Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Constellation Software's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Constellation Software's historical news coverage. Constellation Software's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4,582 and 5,047, respectively. We have considered Constellation Software's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Constellation Software is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Constellation Software is based on 3 months time horizon.
Constellation Software Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Constellation Software is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Constellation Software backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Constellation Software, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.35 | 4.76 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4,608 | 4,583 | 0.10 |
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Constellation Software Hype Timeline
Constellation Software is currently traded for 4,608on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -4.76, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Constellation is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4583.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 3.4%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Constellation Software is about 8437.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4,608. About 42.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.21. Constellation Software recorded earning per share (EPS) of 42.67. The entity last dividend was issued on the 20th of December 2024. The firm had 1:15 split on the 14th of December 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out Constellation Software Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Constellation Software Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Constellation Software's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Constellation Software's future price movements. Getting to know how Constellation Software's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Constellation Software may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KXS | Kinaxis | 3.69 | 5 per month | 2.86 | 0.03 | 3.95 | (3.29) | 16.52 | |
| OTEX | Open Text Corp | (2.06) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.84 | (2.51) | 13.83 | |
| ENGH | Enghouse Systems | (0.09) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.71 | (2.81) | 8.90 | |
| GIB-A | CGI Inc | 0.45 | 3 per month | 1.19 | (0.06) | 1.45 | (1.49) | 6.43 | |
| TOI | Topicus | (1.91) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.03 | (2.08) | 7.08 |
Constellation Software Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Constellation price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Constellation using various technical indicators. When you analyze Constellation charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Constellation Software Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Constellation Software stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Constellation Software, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Constellation Software based on analysis of Constellation Software hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Constellation Software's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Constellation Software's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.002162 | 0.002572 | 0.001619 | 0.001538 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.7 | 4.99 | 6.24 | 6.56 |
Story Coverage note for Constellation Software
The number of cover stories for Constellation Software depends on current market conditions and Constellation Software's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Constellation Software is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Constellation Software's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Constellation Software Short Properties
Constellation Software's future price predictability will typically decrease when Constellation Software's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Constellation Software often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Constellation Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Constellation Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Other Information on Investing in Constellation Stock
Constellation Software financial ratios help investors to determine whether Constellation Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Constellation with respect to the benefits of owning Constellation Software security.