Camping World Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| CWH Stock | USD 24.21 0.41 1.72% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.72) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.49) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.53) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8794 | Wall Street Target Price 28.0909 |
Using Camping World hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Camping World Holdings from the perspective of Camping World response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Camping World Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Camping World's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Camping. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Camping can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Camping World Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Camping World's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Camping World.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Camping World to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Camping because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Camping World after-hype prediction price | USD 24.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Camping |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Camping World's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Camping World After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Camping World at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Camping World or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Camping World, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Camping World Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Camping World's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Camping World's historical news coverage. Camping World's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.89 and 27.29, respectively. We have considered Camping World's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Camping World is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Camping World Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Camping World Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Camping World is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Camping World backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Camping World, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 3.20 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.21 | 24.09 | 0.50 |
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Camping World Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of November Camping World Holdings is traded for 24.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Camping is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.09. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Camping World is about 598.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.28. About 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.7. Camping World Holdings recorded a loss per share of 0.66. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of September 2024. The firm had 1:1 split on the January 24, 2011. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Camping World Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Camping World Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Camping World's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Camping World's future price movements. Getting to know how Camping World's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Camping World may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | (7.92) | 10 per month | 1.50 | 0.07 | 3.60 | (2.70) | 11.29 | |
| SAH | Sonic Automotive | (0.58) | 9 per month | 1.80 | 0.03 | 4.62 | (3.31) | 13.17 | |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group | (0.84) | 10 per month | 1.45 | (0.08) | 2.50 | (2.44) | 6.98 | |
| LAD | Lithia Motors | 8.29 | 11 per month | 1.54 | 0.16 | 4.90 | (3.18) | 13.35 | |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group | 6.89 | 11 per month | 1.68 | 0.04 | 4.06 | (2.67) | 9.76 | |
| AN | AutoNation | 0.61 | 8 per month | 1.96 | (0.06) | 3.73 | (3.00) | 8.95 | |
| VRM | Vroom Inc | (0.38) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 9.33 | (10.72) | 45.12 | |
| KMX | CarMax Inc | 0.05 | 9 per month | 1.77 | (0.06) | 4.14 | (3.24) | 8.69 | |
| SDA | SunCar Technology Group | (0.25) | 10 per month | 3.90 | (0.01) | 9.10 | (6.34) | 17.46 | |
| UCAR | U Power Limited | (0.52) | 5 per month | 4.32 | (0.02) | 6.54 | (7.00) | 16.60 |
Camping World Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Camping price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Camping using various technical indicators. When you analyze Camping charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Camping World Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Camping World stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Camping World Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Camping World based on analysis of Camping World hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Camping World's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Camping World's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.14 | 0.28 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.26 | 0.14 |
Story Coverage note for Camping World
The number of cover stories for Camping World depends on current market conditions and Camping World's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Camping World is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Camping World's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Camping World Short Properties
Camping World's future price predictability will typically decrease when Camping World's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Camping World Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Camping World's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Camping World's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 39.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Camping Stock analysis
When running Camping World's price analysis, check to measure Camping World's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Camping World is operating at the current time. Most of Camping World's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Camping World's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Camping World's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Camping World to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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