CyberArk Software (Germany) Price Prediction

CYB Stock   310.00  2.30  0.75%   
The value of RSI of CyberArk Software's share price is above 70 at this time suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling CyberArk, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

75

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CyberArk Software's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CyberArk Software, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using CyberArk Software hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CyberArk Software from the perspective of CyberArk Software response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CyberArk Software to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CyberArk because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CyberArk Software after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 310.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out CyberArk Software Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy CyberArk Stock please use our How to Invest in CyberArk Software guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CyberArk Software's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
229.97232.50341.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
317.89320.42322.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
242.29280.12317.96
Details

CyberArk Software After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CyberArk Software at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CyberArk Software or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CyberArk Software, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CyberArk Software Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CyberArk Software's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CyberArk Software's historical news coverage. CyberArk Software's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 307.47 and 312.53, respectively. We have considered CyberArk Software's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
310.00
307.47
Downside
310.00
After-hype Price
312.53
Upside
CyberArk Software is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CyberArk Software is based on 3 months time horizon.

CyberArk Software Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CyberArk Software is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CyberArk Software backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CyberArk Software, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.37 
2.53
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
310.00
310.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

CyberArk Software Hype Timeline

CyberArk Software is currently traded for 310.00on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CyberArk is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on CyberArk Software is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 310.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out CyberArk Software Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy CyberArk Stock please use our How to Invest in CyberArk Software guide.

CyberArk Software Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CyberArk Software's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CyberArk Software's future price movements. Getting to know how CyberArk Software's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CyberArk Software may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

CyberArk Software Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CyberArk price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CyberArk using various technical indicators. When you analyze CyberArk charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CyberArk Software Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CyberArk Software stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CyberArk Software, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CyberArk Software based on analysis of CyberArk Software hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CyberArk Software's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CyberArk Software's related companies.

Story Coverage note for CyberArk Software

The number of cover stories for CyberArk Software depends on current market conditions and CyberArk Software's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CyberArk Software is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CyberArk Software's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for CyberArk Stock Analysis

When running CyberArk Software's price analysis, check to measure CyberArk Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CyberArk Software is operating at the current time. Most of CyberArk Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CyberArk Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CyberArk Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CyberArk Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.