Dynex Capital Stock Price Prediction
| DX Stock | USD 12.39 0.05 0.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.54) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.05 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.39) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8754 | Wall Street Target Price 13.6667 |
Using Dynex Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dynex Capital from the perspective of Dynex Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Dynex Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Dynex because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Dynex Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 12.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Dynex |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dynex Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dynex Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dynex Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dynex Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dynex Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dynex Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dynex Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dynex Capital's historical news coverage. Dynex Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.45 and 13.31, respectively. We have considered Dynex Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dynex Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dynex Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dynex Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dynex Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dynex Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dynex Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.93 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.39 | 12.38 | 0.08 |
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Dynex Capital Hype Timeline
As of November 23, 2024 Dynex Capital is listed for 12.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Dynex is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Dynex Capital is about 310.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.40. About 35.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Dynex Capital last dividend was issued on the 22nd of November 2024. The entity had 1:3 split on the 21st of June 2019. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Dynex Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Dynex Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dynex Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dynex Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Dynex Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dynex Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BXMT | Blackstone Mortgage Trust | (0.39) | 9 per month | 1.26 | 0 | 2.27 | (2.25) | 6.93 | |
| OHI | Omega Healthcare Investors | 1.13 | 10 per month | 1.05 | (0.03) | 1.70 | (1.97) | 5.15 | |
| MPW | Medical Properties Trust | 0.16 | 7 per month | 3.17 | (0.03) | 5.94 | (5.21) | 23.92 |
Dynex Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dynex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dynex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dynex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Dynex Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Dynex Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Dynex Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dynex Capital based on analysis of Dynex Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Dynex Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Dynex Capital's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Effective Tax Rate | 0.11 | 0.3 | 0.35 | 0.33 | Operating Profit Margin | 0.8 | 1.06 | 1.21 | 1.15 |
Story Coverage note for Dynex Capital
The number of cover stories for Dynex Capital depends on current market conditions and Dynex Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dynex Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dynex Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dynex Capital Short Properties
Dynex Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dynex Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dynex Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dynex Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dynex Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 119.6 M |
Additional Tools for Dynex Stock Analysis
When running Dynex Capital's price analysis, check to measure Dynex Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dynex Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Dynex Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dynex Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dynex Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dynex Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.