Edel SE (Germany) Price Patterns

EDL Stock  EUR 4.54  0.00  0.00%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Edel SE's share price is above 70 at the present time suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Edel, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 71

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Edel SE's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Edel SE and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Edel SE's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Edel SE Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Edel SE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Edel SE Co from the perspective of Edel SE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Edel SE to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Edel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Edel SE after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 4.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Edel SE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.095.406.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.804.545.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.544.544.54
Details

Edel SE After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Edel SE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Edel SE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Edel SE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Edel SE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Edel SE's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Edel SE's historical news coverage. Edel SE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.80 and 5.28, respectively. We have considered Edel SE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.54
4.54
After-hype Price
5.28
Upside
Edel SE is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Edel SE is based on 3 months time horizon.

Edel SE Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Edel SE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Edel SE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Edel SE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
0.74
 0.00  
  0.03 
5 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.54
4.54
0.00 
1,850  
Notes

Edel SE Hype Timeline

Edel SE is currently traded for 4.54on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Edel is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Edel SE is about 196.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.57. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.61. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Edel SE last dividend was issued on the May 24, 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Edel SE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Edel SE Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Edel SE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Edel SE's future price movements. Getting to know how Edel SE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Edel SE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Edel SE Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Edel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Edel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Edel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Edel SE Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Edel SE stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Edel SE Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Edel SE based on analysis of Edel SE hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Edel SE's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Edel SE's related companies.

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Complementary Tools for Edel Stock analysis

When running Edel SE's price analysis, check to measure Edel SE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Edel SE is operating at the current time. Most of Edel SE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Edel SE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Edel SE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Edel SE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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