Egain Stock Price Patterns
| EGAN Stock | USD 10.00 0.60 6.38% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0433 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3567 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3767 | Wall Street Target Price 14.5 |
Using EGain hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of eGain from the perspective of EGain response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards EGain using EGain's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards EGain using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of EGain's stock price.
EGain Short Interest
An investor who is long EGain may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about EGain and may potentially protect profits, hedge EGain with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 8.6623 | Short Percent 0.0615 | Short Ratio 4.55 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.1 M | 50 Day MA 10.3652 |
eGain Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to EGain's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in EGain. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding EGain can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around eGain. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of EGain's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about EGain.
EGain Implied Volatility | 1.41 |
EGain's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of eGain stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if EGain's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that EGain stock will not fluctuate a lot when EGain's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in EGain to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying EGain because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
EGain after-hype prediction price | USD 10.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current EGain contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that eGain will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0881% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With EGain trading at USD 10.0, that is roughly USD 0.008813 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating EGain's daily price movement you should consider acquiring eGain options at the current volatility level of 1.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out EGain Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. EGain After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of EGain at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EGain or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EGain, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
EGain Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting EGain's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EGain's historical news coverage. EGain's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.54 and 14.64, respectively. We have considered EGain's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
EGain is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of eGain is based on 3 months time horizon.
EGain Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EGain is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EGain backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EGain, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 4.55 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 12 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.00 | 10.09 | 0.90 |
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EGain Hype Timeline
eGain is currently traded for 10.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. EGain is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.09 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.9%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.49%. The volatility of related hype on EGain is about 5290.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.96. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 88.43 M. Net Income was 32.25 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 65.65 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out EGain Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.EGain Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to EGain's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EGain's future price movements. Getting to know how EGain's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EGain may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MITK | Mitek Systems | 0.04 | 8 per month | 2.06 | 0.10 | 3.42 | (4.01) | 15.38 | |
| RMNI | Rimini Street | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.81 | (3.72) | 9.53 | |
| LAW | CS Disco LLC | (0.04) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 6.96 | (7.18) | 26.11 | |
| PUBM | Pubmatic | (0.40) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.58 | (6.23) | 56.16 | |
| MTLS | Materialise NV | (0.27) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.02 | (3.78) | 13.68 | |
| CMRC | Commerce | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 3.80 | (6.58) | 17.34 | |
| IMXI | International Money Express | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.40 | (0.33) | 1.45 | |
| GRRR | Gorilla Technology Group | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 9.43 | (7.86) | 24.43 | |
| GDEV | GDEV Inc | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 12.02 | (11.22) | 58.11 | |
| BGIN | Bgin Blockchain Limited | (0.09) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.37 | (9.71) | 25.24 |
EGain Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EGain price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EGain using various technical indicators. When you analyze EGain charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About EGain Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of EGain stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as eGain, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of EGain based on analysis of EGain hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to EGain's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to EGain's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Graham Number | 3.28 | 8.6 | 8.12 | Receivables Turnover | 2.92 | 2.7 | 2.95 |
Pair Trading with EGain
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if EGain position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in EGain will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with EGain Stock
Moving against EGain Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to EGain could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace EGain when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back EGain - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling eGain to buy it.
The correlation of EGain is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as EGain moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if eGain moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for EGain can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out EGain Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in EGain Stock, please use our How to Invest in EGain guide.You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could EGain diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EGain. Projected growth potential of EGain fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every EGain data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3 | Earnings Share 1.27 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.026 | Return On Assets |
The market value of eGain is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EGain that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EGain's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EGain's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because EGain's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EGain's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between EGain's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding EGain should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, EGain's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.