Endesa Sa Stock Price Prediction

ELEZF Stock  USD 20.85  0.35  1.65%   
As of 25th of November 2024 The relative strength index (RSI) of Endesa SA's share price is above 80 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

89

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Endesa SA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Endesa SA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Endesa SA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Endesa SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Endesa SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Endesa SA from the perspective of Endesa SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Endesa SA to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Endesa because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Endesa SA after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.93  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Endesa SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.9120.8521.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.1821.1122.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.8520.8520.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Endesa SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Endesa SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Endesa SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Endesa SA.

Endesa SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Endesa SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Endesa SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Endesa SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Endesa SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Endesa SA's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Endesa SA's historical news coverage. Endesa SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.77 and 22.87, respectively. We have considered Endesa SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.85
21.93
After-hype Price
22.87
Upside
Endesa SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Endesa SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Endesa SA Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Endesa SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Endesa SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Endesa SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
0.94
  1.08 
  0.18 
21 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 21 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.85
21.93
5.18 
11.35  
Notes

Endesa SA Hype Timeline

Endesa SA is currently traded for 20.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. Endesa is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.93 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 11.35%. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 5.18%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Endesa SA is about 66.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.67. Endesa SA has accumulated about 280 M in cash with 2.62 B of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.26. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 21 days.
Check out Endesa SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Endesa SA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Endesa SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Endesa SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Endesa SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Endesa SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Endesa SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Endesa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Endesa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Endesa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Endesa SA Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Endesa SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Endesa SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Endesa SA based on analysis of Endesa SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Endesa SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Endesa SA's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Endesa SA

The number of cover stories for Endesa SA depends on current market conditions and Endesa SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Endesa SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Endesa SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Endesa SA Short Properties

Endesa SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Endesa SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Endesa SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Endesa SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Endesa SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B

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When running Endesa SA's price analysis, check to measure Endesa SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Endesa SA is operating at the current time. Most of Endesa SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Endesa SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Endesa SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Endesa SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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