Essential Properties Realty Stock Price Prediction
| EPRT Stock | USD 33.47 0.03 0.09% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.06) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.31 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.18 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.29 | Wall Street Target Price 35.4531 |
Using Essential Properties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Essential Properties Realty from the perspective of Essential Properties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Essential Properties to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Essential because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Essential Properties after-hype prediction price | USD 33.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Essential |
Essential Properties After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Essential Properties at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Essential Properties or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Essential Properties, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Essential Properties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Essential Properties' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Essential Properties' historical news coverage. Essential Properties' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.44 and 34.60, respectively. We have considered Essential Properties' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Essential Properties is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Essential Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.
Essential Properties Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Essential Properties is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Essential Properties backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Essential Properties, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.08 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.47 | 33.52 | 0.06 |
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Essential Properties Hype Timeline
Essential Properties is currently traded for 33.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Essential is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 33.52 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Essential Properties is about 97200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.47. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 359.6 M. Net Income was 191.41 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 282.97 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Essential Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Essential Properties Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Essential Properties' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Essential Properties' future price movements. Getting to know how Essential Properties' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Essential Properties may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SRC | Spirit Realty Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | 0.05 | 2.34 | (1.72) | 6.41 | |
| AHH | Armada Hflr Pr | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.49 | (1.74) | 11.25 | |
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth | 0.22 | 8 per month | 2.23 | (0.0005) | 2.27 | (1.54) | 19.07 | |
| BRSP | Brightspire Capital | 0.03 | 8 per month | 1.43 | 0.03 | 3.10 | (2.74) | 22.56 | |
| BNL | Broadstone Net Lease | (0.19) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.61 | (1.71) | 5.03 | |
| SAFE | Safehold | (0.72) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.70 | (3.71) | 10.10 | |
| AHH-PA | Armada Hoffler Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.69 | (0.03) | 1.81 | (1.23) | 5.47 | |
| OLP | One Liberty Properties | 0.70 | 8 per month | 1.00 | 0.04 | 2.55 | (1.97) | 7.70 | |
| MDV | Modiv Inc | (0.08) | 9 per month | 1.76 | 0.01 | 3.54 | (2.22) | 10.64 |
Essential Properties Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Essential price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Essential using various technical indicators. When you analyze Essential charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Essential Properties Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Essential Properties stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Essential Properties Realty, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Essential Properties based on analysis of Essential Properties hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Essential Properties's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Essential Properties's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0335 | 0.0447 | 0.0433 | 0.0582 | Price To Sales Ratio | 14.57 | 11.05 | 10.81 | 15.48 |
Story Coverage note for Essential Properties
The number of cover stories for Essential Properties depends on current market conditions and Essential Properties' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Essential Properties is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Essential Properties' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Essential Properties Short Properties
Essential Properties' future price predictability will typically decrease when Essential Properties' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Essential Properties Realty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Essential Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Essential Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 153.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 39.8 M |
Additional Tools for Essential Stock Analysis
When running Essential Properties' price analysis, check to measure Essential Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Essential Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Essential Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Essential Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Essential Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Essential Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.