Eaton Vance Atlanta Fund Price Prediction

ESECX Fund  USD 33.43  0.29  0.88%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Eaton Vance's share price is above 70 at this time suggesting that the mutual fund is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Eaton, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

71

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Eaton Vance's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eaton Vance Atlanta, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Eaton Vance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eaton Vance Atlanta from the perspective of Eaton Vance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Eaton Vance to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Eaton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Eaton Vance after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 33.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Eaton Vance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eaton Vance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.3533.1433.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.3533.1433.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.0633.3333.61
Details

Eaton Vance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Eaton Vance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eaton Vance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Eaton Vance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Eaton Vance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Eaton Vance's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eaton Vance's historical news coverage. Eaton Vance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.67 and 34.25, respectively. We have considered Eaton Vance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
33.43
33.46
After-hype Price
34.25
Upside
Eaton Vance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eaton Vance Atlanta is based on 3 months time horizon.

Eaton Vance Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Eaton Vance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eaton Vance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eaton Vance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
0.79
  0.03 
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
33.43
33.46
0.09 
246.87  
Notes

Eaton Vance Hype Timeline

Eaton Vance Atlanta is currently traded for 33.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Eaton is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 33.46 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Eaton Vance is about 19750.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.43. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Eaton Vance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Eaton Vance Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Eaton Vance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eaton Vance's future price movements. Getting to know how Eaton Vance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eaton Vance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EMAIXEaton Vance Msschsts 0.00 0 per month 0.07 (0.84) 0.20 (0.20) 0.91 
EMOCXEaton Vance Municipal 0.00 0 per month 0.24 (0.49) 0.35 (0.35) 1.58 
EMOAXEaton Vance Municipal 0.00 0 per month 0.24 (0.47) 0.27 (0.35) 1.58 
EMOIXEaton Vance Municipal 0.00 0 per month 0.23 (0.46) 0.35 (0.35) 1.58 
EIMEaton Vance Mbf(0.04)2 per month 0.49 (0.20) 0.97 (0.95) 2.41 
ENYIXEaton Vance New 0.00 0 per month 0.23 (0.47) 0.32 (0.42) 1.47 
ERASXEaton Vance Atlanta 0.00 0 per month 0.55 (0.02) 1.35 (1.12) 4.10 
ERAMXEaton Vance Multi Asset 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.69) 0.10 (0.10) 0.72 
ERBIXEaton Vance Richard 0.00 0 per month 0.68 (0.08) 1.22 (0.98) 3.89 
ERBCXEaton Vance Richard 0.00 0 per month 0.67 (0.09) 1.20 (0.97) 3.89 

Eaton Vance Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Eaton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eaton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eaton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Eaton Vance Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Eaton Vance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Eaton Vance Atlanta, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Eaton Vance based on analysis of Eaton Vance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Eaton Vance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Eaton Vance's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Eaton Vance

The number of cover stories for Eaton Vance depends on current market conditions and Eaton Vance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eaton Vance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eaton Vance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Eaton Mutual Fund

Eaton Vance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eaton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eaton with respect to the benefits of owning Eaton Vance security.
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