ESSILORLUXOTTICA (Germany) Price Prediction
| ESLC Stock | EUR 114.00 2.00 1.72% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ESSILORLUXOTTICA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ESSILORLUXOTTICA 12ON from the perspective of ESSILORLUXOTTICA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ESSILORLUXOTTICA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ESSILORLUXOTTICA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ESSILORLUXOTTICA after-hype prediction price | EUR 114.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ESSILORLUXOTTICA |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ESSILORLUXOTTICA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ESSILORLUXOTTICA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ESSILORLUXOTTICA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ESSILORLUXOTTICA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ESSILORLUXOTTICA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ESSILORLUXOTTICA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ESSILORLUXOTTICA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ESSILORLUXOTTICA's historical news coverage. ESSILORLUXOTTICA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 112.60 and 115.40, respectively. We have considered ESSILORLUXOTTICA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ESSILORLUXOTTICA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ESSILORLUXOTTICA 12ON is based on 3 months time horizon.
ESSILORLUXOTTICA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ESSILORLUXOTTICA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ESSILORLUXOTTICA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ESSILORLUXOTTICA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
114.00 | 114.00 | 0.00 |
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ESSILORLUXOTTICA Hype Timeline
ESSILORLUXOTTICA 12ON is currently traded for 114.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ESSILORLUXOTTICA is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on ESSILORLUXOTTICA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 114.00. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 900.0. ESSILORLUXOTTICA 12ON last dividend was issued on the 27th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out ESSILORLUXOTTICA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ESSILORLUXOTTICA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ESSILORLUXOTTICA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ESSILORLUXOTTICA's future price movements. Getting to know how ESSILORLUXOTTICA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ESSILORLUXOTTICA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RE3 | Richardson Electronics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.81 | 0.11 | 4.88 | (1.93) | 15.88 | |
| 8DA1 | InPlay Oil Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.05 | (2.50) | 9.92 | |
| 8Q8 | KOOL2PLAY SA ZY | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.75 | (0.02) | 6.25 | (8.70) | 24.26 | |
| BMU | Benchmark Electronics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | 0.09 | 3.57 | (3.31) | 13.06 | |
| ME5A | METHODE ELECTRONICS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.80 | 0.03 | 5.39 | (5.03) | 15.66 | |
| UCE | Ultra Clean Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.32 | (4.12) | 23.52 | |
| NEN | Renesas Electronics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.29 | (5.53) | 10.75 | |
| ARW | ARROW ELECTRONICS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.59 | (2.52) | 17.17 |
ESSILORLUXOTTICA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ESSILORLUXOTTICA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ESSILORLUXOTTICA using various technical indicators. When you analyze ESSILORLUXOTTICA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ESSILORLUXOTTICA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ESSILORLUXOTTICA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ESSILORLUXOTTICA 12ON, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ESSILORLUXOTTICA based on analysis of ESSILORLUXOTTICA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ESSILORLUXOTTICA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ESSILORLUXOTTICA's related companies.
Story Coverage note for ESSILORLUXOTTICA
The number of cover stories for ESSILORLUXOTTICA depends on current market conditions and ESSILORLUXOTTICA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ESSILORLUXOTTICA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ESSILORLUXOTTICA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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When running ESSILORLUXOTTICA's price analysis, check to measure ESSILORLUXOTTICA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ESSILORLUXOTTICA is operating at the current time. Most of ESSILORLUXOTTICA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ESSILORLUXOTTICA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ESSILORLUXOTTICA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ESSILORLUXOTTICA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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