Consumer Staples Portfolio Fund Price Prediction
| FDAGX Fund | USD 97.58 0.78 0.81% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Consumer Staples hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Consumer Staples Portfolio from the perspective of Consumer Staples response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Consumer Staples to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Consumer because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Consumer Staples after-hype prediction price | USD 97.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Consumer |
Consumer Staples After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Consumer Staples at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Consumer Staples or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Consumer Staples, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Consumer Staples Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Consumer Staples' mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Consumer Staples' historical news coverage. Consumer Staples' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 96.94 and 98.22, respectively. We have considered Consumer Staples' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Consumer Staples is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Consumer Staples Por is based on 3 months time horizon.
Consumer Staples Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Consumer Staples is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Consumer Staples backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Consumer Staples, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
97.58 | 97.58 | 0.00 |
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Consumer Staples Hype Timeline
Consumer Staples Por is currently traded for 97.58. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Consumer is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Consumer Staples is about 1103.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 97.58. The company last dividend was issued on the 8th of April 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Consumer Staples Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Consumer Staples Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Consumer Staples' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Consumer Staples' future price movements. Getting to know how Consumer Staples' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Consumer Staples may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| K | Kellanova | 0.15 | 9 per month | 0.08 | (0.57) | 0.37 | (0.35) | 0.93 | |
| BG | Bunge Limited | (0.41) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.94 | (2.26) | 9.04 | |
| BJ | BJs Wholesale Club | 0.33 | 10 per month | 1.00 | 0.09 | 2.56 | (1.70) | 5.52 | |
| CL | Colgate Palmolive | (0.79) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.20 | (1.74) | 6.33 | |
| DG | Dollar General | (1.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.69 | (3.31) | 32.77 | |
| EL | Estee Lauder Companies | 1.14 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.62 | (3.42) | 30.90 | |
| FC | Franklin Covey | (0.45) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.45 | (3.04) | 22.53 | |
| GO | Grocery Outlet Holding | 1.16 | 10 per month | 3.67 | 0.05 | 5.85 | (5.23) | 22.16 | |
| KO | The Coca Cola | 0.69 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.18 | (1.66) | 4.07 | |
| KR | Kroger Company | (0.18) | 6 per month | 0.84 | 0.08 | 1.98 | (1.95) | 9.24 |
Consumer Staples Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Consumer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Consumer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Consumer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Consumer Staples Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Consumer Staples stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Consumer Staples Portfolio, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Consumer Staples based on analysis of Consumer Staples hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Consumer Staples's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Consumer Staples's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Consumer Staples
The number of cover stories for Consumer Staples depends on current market conditions and Consumer Staples' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Consumer Staples is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Consumer Staples' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Consumer Mutual Fund
Consumer Staples financial ratios help investors to determine whether Consumer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Consumer with respect to the benefits of owning Consumer Staples security.
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