Fundamental Global Stock Price Prediction
FGF Stock | USD 31.02 1.32 4.44% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.36 |
Using Fundamental Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fundamental Global from the perspective of Fundamental Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fundamental Global to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fundamental because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fundamental Global after-hype prediction price | USD 32.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fundamental |
Fundamental Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fundamental Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fundamental Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fundamental Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Fundamental Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fundamental Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fundamental Global's historical news coverage. Fundamental Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.70 and 40.96, respectively. We have considered Fundamental Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fundamental Global is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fundamental Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fundamental Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fundamental Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fundamental Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fundamental Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.64 | 8.63 | 1.31 | 0.04 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
31.02 | 32.33 | 4.22 |
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Fundamental Global Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November Fundamental Global is traded for 31.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Fundamental is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 32.33 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 4.22%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.64%. The volatility of related hype on Fundamental Global is about 13075.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.06. Fundamental Global has about 12.83 M in cash with (4.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.37. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Fundamental Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fundamental Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fundamental Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fundamental Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Fundamental Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fundamental Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
IGIC | International General Insurance | (0.37) | 8 per month | 1.14 | 0.23 | 5.40 | (2.47) | 10.23 | |
BBSEY | BB Seguridade Participacoes | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.85 | (2.44) | 10.20 | |
GSHD | Goosehead Insurance | (0.39) | 9 per month | 0.83 | 0.24 | 5.06 | (2.22) | 14.35 | |
ESGR | Enstar Group Limited | 0.24 | 9 per month | 0.41 | (0.31) | 0.68 | (0.82) | 2.06 | |
EQH | Axa Equitable Holdings | 2.90 | 9 per month | 1.12 | 0.06 | 2.71 | (2.33) | 17.41 | |
ACGL | Arch Capital Group | (0.57) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.36 | (2.74) | 9.16 | |
WDH | Waterdrop ADR | (0.03) | 4 per month | 2.45 | (0) | 5.77 | (3.70) | 15.06 | |
HIG | Hartford Financial Services | (1.71) | 9 per month | 1.62 | 0 | 1.94 | (2.02) | 9.07 | |
SLF | Sun Life Financial | 0.59 | 11 per month | 0.33 | 0.11 | 1.39 | (0.93) | 5.10 | |
ACGLO | Arch Capital Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.90 | (1.27) | 2.94 |
Fundamental Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fundamental price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fundamental using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fundamental charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Fundamental Global Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fundamental Global stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fundamental Global, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fundamental Global based on analysis of Fundamental Global hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fundamental Global's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fundamental Global's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 14.41 | 15.34 | 0.38 | 0.36 | Dividend Yield | 0.003453 | 0.003127 | 0.11 | 0.12 |
Story Coverage note for Fundamental Global
The number of cover stories for Fundamental Global depends on current market conditions and Fundamental Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fundamental Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fundamental Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fundamental Global Short Properties
Fundamental Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fundamental Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fundamental Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fundamental Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fundamental Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 399.7 K | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Fundamental Stock analysis
When running Fundamental Global's price analysis, check to measure Fundamental Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fundamental Global is operating at the current time. Most of Fundamental Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fundamental Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fundamental Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fundamental Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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