FOS Capital (Australia) Price Prediction

FOS Stock   0.22  0.01  4.76%   
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of FOS Capital's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 6

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of FOS Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FOS Capital, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting FOS Capital's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.72)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.22)
Using FOS Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FOS Capital from the perspective of FOS Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FOS Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FOS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

FOS Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 0.22  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out FOS Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.203.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.223.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.200.230.27
Details

FOS Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of FOS Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FOS Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FOS Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

FOS Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting FOS Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FOS Capital's historical news coverage. FOS Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 3.11, respectively. We have considered FOS Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.22
0.22
After-hype Price
3.11
Upside
FOS Capital is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FOS Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

FOS Capital Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FOS Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FOS Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FOS Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
2.89
 0.00  
  0.03 
4 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.22
0.22
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

FOS Capital Hype Timeline

FOS Capital is currently traded for 0.22on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. FOS is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on FOS Capital is about 2425.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.25. About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.07. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. FOS Capital last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out FOS Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

FOS Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to FOS Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FOS Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how FOS Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FOS Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IXJIshares Global Healthcare(0.62)1 per month 0.61 (0.03) 1.42 (0.96) 3.39 
AHFAustralian Dairy Nutritionals 0.00 7 per month 0.00 (0.12) 5.88 (7.50) 22.90 
VMSVenari Minerals NL 0.00 4 per month 11.55  0.09  14.29 (12.50) 238.73 
ITMItech Minerals(0)1 per month 5.00 (0.01) 7.94 (8.70) 47.40 
EMBEmbelton(0.02)1 per month 0.00  0.05  0.00  0.00  6.46 
AACAustralian Agricultural 0.03 4 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.90 (2.82) 9.04 
IFRAVaneck Ftse Global(0.40)2 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.82 (1.03) 2.98 
ERAEnergy Resources of 1.99 6 per month 12.04  0.11  25.00 (20.00) 83.33 
IMUImugene(0.01)7 per month 3.17 (0.02) 6.67 (5.88) 19.81 
ANRAnatara Lifesciences 0.23 8 per month 4.01 (0) 9.09 (7.69) 30.95 

FOS Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine FOS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FOS using various technical indicators. When you analyze FOS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About FOS Capital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of FOS Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FOS Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FOS Capital based on analysis of FOS Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FOS Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FOS Capital's related companies.

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Additional Tools for FOS Stock Analysis

When running FOS Capital's price analysis, check to measure FOS Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FOS Capital is operating at the current time. Most of FOS Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FOS Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FOS Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FOS Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.