First Seacoast Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| FSEA Stock | USD 13.99 0.99 7.62% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.198 |
Using First Seacoast hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Seacoast Bancorp from the perspective of First Seacoast response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Seacoast to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First Seacoast after-hype prediction price | USD 13.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out First Seacoast Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Seacoast's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Seacoast After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Seacoast at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Seacoast or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Seacoast, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First Seacoast Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Seacoast's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Seacoast's historical news coverage. First Seacoast's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.79 and 17.05, respectively. We have considered First Seacoast's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Seacoast is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Seacoast Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Seacoast Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Seacoast is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Seacoast backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Seacoast, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 3.13 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.99 | 13.92 | 0.50 |
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First Seacoast Hype Timeline
First Seacoast Bancorp is currently traded for 13.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. First is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.92. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on First Seacoast is about 44714.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.99. About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.95. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Seacoast Bancorp recorded a loss per share of 0.5. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 8358:10000 split on the 20th of January 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out First Seacoast Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.First Seacoast Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Seacoast's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Seacoast's future price movements. Getting to know how First Seacoast's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Seacoast may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLST | Catalyst Bancorp | 0.1 | 8 per month | 0.65 | 0.15 | 1.90 | (1.08) | 7.82 | |
| STLE | Stylesite Marketing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ASRV | AmeriServ Financial | (0.08) | 7 per month | 1.85 | (0.01) | 2.89 | (3.13) | 8.63 | |
| OPHC | OptimumBank Holdings | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.68 | 0.16 | 2.19 | (1.71) | 8.83 | |
| BYFC | Broadway Financial | 0.38 | 6 per month | 2.46 | 0.04 | 3.99 | (3.68) | 25.87 | |
| NSTS | NSTS Bancorp | 0.25 | 6 per month | 0.63 | 0.12 | 2.00 | (1.55) | 7.95 | |
| TCBS | Texas Community Bancshares | 0.1 | 6 per month | 1.17 | 0.04 | 2.10 | (2.22) | 12.58 | |
| PBBK | PB Bankshares | (0.12) | 6 per month | 1.51 | (0.02) | 2.40 | (2.53) | 10.19 | |
| TECTP | Tectonic Financial PR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.91 | (3.14) | 9.74 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | (0.74) | 7 per month | 3.19 | 0.14 | 6.92 | (3.72) | 21.76 |
First Seacoast Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About First Seacoast Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First Seacoast stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Seacoast Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Seacoast based on analysis of First Seacoast hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Seacoast's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Seacoast's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 45.52 | 28.77 | 25.89 | PTB Ratio | 0.54 | 0.7 | 0.81 |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| HITI | High Tide | |
| HITI | High Tide | |
| BAC | Bank of America |
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Seacoast's price analysis, check to measure First Seacoast's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Seacoast is operating at the current time. Most of First Seacoast's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Seacoast's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Seacoast's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Seacoast to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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