FIRSTRAND (Germany) Price Patterns
| FSRA Stock | EUR 5.35 0.20 3.88% |
Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using FIRSTRAND hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FIRSTRAND from the perspective of FIRSTRAND response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FIRSTRAND to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FIRSTRAND because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
FIRSTRAND after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FIRSTRAND |
FIRSTRAND After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FIRSTRAND at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FIRSTRAND or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FIRSTRAND, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FIRSTRAND Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FIRSTRAND's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FIRSTRAND's historical news coverage. FIRSTRAND's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 2.73, respectively. We have considered FIRSTRAND's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FIRSTRAND is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FIRSTRAND is based on 3 months time horizon.
FIRSTRAND Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FIRSTRAND is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FIRSTRAND backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FIRSTRAND, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.56 | 2.73 | 0.04 | 1.04 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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FIRSTRAND Hype Timeline
FIRSTRAND is currently traded for 5.35on Munich Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.04. FIRSTRAND is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.56%. %. The volatility of related hype on FIRSTRAND is about 147.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.39. The company last dividend was issued on the 3rd of October 1970. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out FIRSTRAND Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.FIRSTRAND Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FIRSTRAND's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FIRSTRAND's future price movements. Getting to know how FIRSTRAND's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FIRSTRAND may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CQD | Charter Communications | 14.28 | 9 per month | 2.21 | 0.03 | 4.16 | (3.36) | 17.67 | |
| 9DB | Dave Busters Entertainment | 0.20 | 8 per month | 3.72 | 0.03 | 8.33 | (6.17) | 26.01 | |
| ISHA | INTERSHOP Communications Aktiengesellschaft | (0.03) | 1 per month | 2.65 | 0.04 | 6.35 | (5.22) | 17.73 | |
| 6GC | Gamma Communications plc | (0.1) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.86 | (2.88) | 11.66 | |
| 2T8 | TOWNSQUARE MEDIA INC | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.40 | (4.82) | 13.02 | |
| 8MN | LINMON MEDIA LTD | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.41 | (5.26) | 20.93 | |
| 8P8 | REMEDY ENTERTAINMENT OYJ | 0.44 | 3 per month | 2.41 | 0.07 | 4.26 | (3.20) | 14.09 | |
| QCH | Computershare Limited | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.30 | (2.56) | 8.41 |
FIRSTRAND Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FIRSTRAND price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FIRSTRAND using various technical indicators. When you analyze FIRSTRAND charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About FIRSTRAND Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of FIRSTRAND stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FIRSTRAND, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FIRSTRAND based on analysis of FIRSTRAND hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FIRSTRAND's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FIRSTRAND's related companies.
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Additional Tools for FIRSTRAND Stock Analysis
When running FIRSTRAND's price analysis, check to measure FIRSTRAND's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FIRSTRAND is operating at the current time. Most of FIRSTRAND's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FIRSTRAND's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FIRSTRAND's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FIRSTRAND to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.