Filtronic (UK) Price Patterns

FTC Stock   202.00  3.00  1.46%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Filtronic's stock price is about 64. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Filtronic, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 64

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Filtronic's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Filtronic and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Filtronic's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Filtronic, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Filtronic's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.62)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.0331
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.0396
Wall Street Target Price
214.333
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Using Filtronic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Filtronic from the perspective of Filtronic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Filtronic to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Filtronic because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Filtronic after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 199.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Filtronic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
150.99153.66222.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
204.02206.69209.36
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.350.360.38
Details

Filtronic After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Filtronic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Filtronic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Filtronic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Filtronic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Filtronic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Filtronic's historical news coverage. Filtronic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 196.56 and 222.20, respectively. We have considered Filtronic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
202.00
196.56
Downside
199.23
After-hype Price
222.20
Upside
Filtronic is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Filtronic is based on 3 months time horizon.

Filtronic Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Filtronic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Filtronic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Filtronic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.82 
2.67
  2.77 
  0.97 
6 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
202.00
199.23
1.37 
78.99  
Notes

Filtronic Hype Timeline

Filtronic is currently traded for 202.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.77, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.97. Filtronic is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 199.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 78.99%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.37%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.82%. The volatility of related hype on Filtronic is about 226.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 201.03. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of October 2010. Filtronic had 0.0083:1 split on the 21st of May 2008. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Filtronic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Filtronic Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Filtronic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Filtronic's future price movements. Getting to know how Filtronic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Filtronic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SMSNSamsung Electronics Co 68.00 5 per month 1.79  0.33  5.89 (3.21) 11.22 
SMSDSamsung Electronics Co 15.00 8 per month 1.70  0.30  5.44 (3.79) 12.16 
BC94Samsung Electronics Co 88.00 4 per month 1.76  0.33  5.77 (3.80) 13.29 
TYTToyota Motor Corp 0.00 8 per month 1.23  0.13  3.26 (2.29) 10.55 
SBIDState Bank of(0.40)7 per month 1.20  0.14  2.85 (1.92) 8.81 
0R15SoftBank Group Corp(182.00)7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 10.41 (9.95) 109.63 
OTPDOTP Bank Plc 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
LGLDLG ELECTRONICS INC 0.00 3 per month 4.72  0.08  12.50 (11.43) 45.83 
0L2TSamsung SDI Co 0.80 1 per month 2.88  0.25  12.21 (5.30) 26.07 

Filtronic Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Filtronic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Filtronic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Filtronic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Filtronic Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Filtronic stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Filtronic, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Filtronic based on analysis of Filtronic hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Filtronic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Filtronic's related companies.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Complementary Tools for Filtronic Stock analysis

When running Filtronic's price analysis, check to measure Filtronic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Filtronic is operating at the current time. Most of Filtronic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Filtronic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Filtronic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Filtronic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Commodity Channel
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.