Firetail Resources (Australia) Price Prediction
| FTL Stock | 0.08 0.01 9.46% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.051 |
Using Firetail Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Firetail Resources from the perspective of Firetail Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Firetail Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Firetail because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Firetail Resources after-hype prediction price | AUD 0.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Firetail |
Firetail Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Firetail Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Firetail Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Firetail Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Firetail Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Firetail Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Firetail Resources' historical news coverage. Firetail Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 7.44, respectively. We have considered Firetail Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Firetail Resources is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Firetail Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Firetail Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Firetail Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Firetail Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Firetail Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.59 | 7.36 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.08 | 0.08 | 1.23 |
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Firetail Resources Hype Timeline
Firetail Resources is currently traded for 0.08on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.2. Firetail is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.08. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -1.23%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.59%. The volatility of related hype on Firetail Resources is about 2213.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.28. About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.31. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Firetail Resources recorded a loss per share of 0.02. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Firetail Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Firetail Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Firetail Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Firetail Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Firetail Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Firetail Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NST | Northern Star Resources | (0.01) | 2 per month | 1.95 | 0.07 | 3.53 | (2.65) | 11.36 | |
| EVN | Evolution Mining | 0.02 | 1 per month | 2.06 | 0.07 | 4.17 | (3.23) | 13.39 | |
| BSL | Bluescope Steel | 1.33 | 1 per month | 1.69 | 0.01 | 2.66 | (2.94) | 8.75 | |
| DEG | De Grey Mining | (0.01) | 1 per month | 2.28 | 0.09 | 4.32 | (3.27) | 12.51 |
Firetail Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Firetail price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Firetail using various technical indicators. When you analyze Firetail charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Firetail Resources Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Firetail Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Firetail Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Firetail Resources based on analysis of Firetail Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Firetail Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Firetail Resources's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Firetail Resources
The number of cover stories for Firetail Resources depends on current market conditions and Firetail Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Firetail Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Firetail Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Firetail Resources Short Properties
Firetail Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Firetail Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Firetail Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Firetail Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Firetail Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 140.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.7 M |
Additional Tools for Firetail Stock Analysis
When running Firetail Resources' price analysis, check to measure Firetail Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Firetail Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Firetail Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Firetail Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Firetail Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Firetail Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.