Fortive Corp Stock Price Prediction

FTV Stock  USD 76.95  1.20  1.58%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Fortive Corp's share price is approaching 46. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fortive Corp, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fortive Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fortive Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fortive Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fortive Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fortive Corp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.033
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.13
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.8497
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.1546
Wall Street Target Price
88.0083
Using Fortive Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fortive Corp from the perspective of Fortive Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Fortive Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Fortive Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fortive. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fortive can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fortive Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fortive Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fortive Corp.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fortive Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fortive because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Fortive Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 75.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Fortive Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Fortive Stock please use our How to Invest in Fortive Corp guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fortive Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.1878.8980.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
74.8176.1277.43
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
75.0282.4491.51
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.960.960.97
Details

Fortive Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fortive Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fortive Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fortive Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fortive Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fortive Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fortive Corp's historical news coverage. Fortive Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 74.49 and 77.11, respectively. We have considered Fortive Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
76.95
75.80
After-hype Price
77.11
Upside
Fortive Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fortive Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fortive Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fortive Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fortive Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fortive Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.32
  0.06 
  0.13 
12 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
76.95
75.80
0.07 
176.00  
Notes

Fortive Corp Hype Timeline

On the 21st of November Fortive Corp is traded for 76.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Fortive is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 75.8 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 176.0%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Fortive Corp is about 80.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 76.82. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.07 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 865.8 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.36 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Fortive Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Fortive Stock please use our How to Invest in Fortive Corp guide.

Fortive Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fortive Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fortive Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Fortive Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fortive Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VPGVishay Precision Group(0.15)8 per month 0.00 (0.20) 4.07 (3.47) 11.08 
STSensata Technologies Holding(0.17)9 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.75 (2.96) 10.34 
BMIBadger Meter(1.75)7 per month 1.71  0.02  2.59 (2.40) 10.23 
TRMBTrimble(0.51)8 per month 1.12  0.11  2.78 (2.58) 20.46 
MKSIMKS Instruments(2.11)9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.44 (3.85) 18.55 
NOVTNovanta(3.41)8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.84 (2.48) 13.09 
MLABMesa Laboratories(12.98)9 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.41 (5.50) 23.18 
ITRIItron Inc(0.44)12 per month 1.60  0.09  3.35 (2.59) 10.19 
COHRCoherent(5.38)10 per month 2.73  0.11  6.27 (4.88) 14.98 
TDYTeledyne Technologies Incorporated 9.46 10 per month 0.82  0.08  2.31 (1.35) 8.10 
IIVIII VI Incorporated 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ESEESCO Technologies(2.13)7 per month 1.10  0.14  3.07 (1.57) 11.48 

Fortive Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fortive price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fortive using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fortive charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Fortive Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Fortive Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fortive Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fortive Corp based on analysis of Fortive Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fortive Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fortive Corp's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0049650.0043450.003930.003733
Price To Sales Ratio5.073.934.282.62

Story Coverage note for Fortive Corp

The number of cover stories for Fortive Corp depends on current market conditions and Fortive Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fortive Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fortive Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Fortive Corp Short Properties

Fortive Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fortive Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fortive Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fortive Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fortive Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding355.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

Additional Tools for Fortive Stock Analysis

When running Fortive Corp's price analysis, check to measure Fortive Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fortive Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Fortive Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fortive Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fortive Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fortive Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.