Globe Metals (Australia) Price Prediction
| GBE Stock | 0.04 0 2.38% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 0.6 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.99) |
Using Globe Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Globe Metals Mining from the perspective of Globe Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Globe Metals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Globe because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Globe Metals after-hype prediction price | AUD 0.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Globe |
Globe Metals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Globe Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Globe Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Globe Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Globe Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Globe Metals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Globe Metals' historical news coverage. Globe Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 4.67, respectively. We have considered Globe Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Globe Metals is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Globe Metals Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.
Globe Metals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Globe Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Globe Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Globe Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 4.63 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.04 | 0.04 | 2.44 |
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Globe Metals Hype Timeline
Globe Metals Mining is currently traded for 0.04on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Globe is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -2.44%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Globe Metals is about 2365.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.05. About 84.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.87. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Globe Metals Mining recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 460:433 split on the 11th of August 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Globe Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Globe Metals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Globe Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Globe Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Globe Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Globe Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NST | Northern Star Resources | (0.01) | 3 per month | 2.24 | 0.03 | 3.53 | (5.08) | 11.36 | |
| EVN | Evolution Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.78 | 0.13 | 4.96 | (3.23) | 13.39 | |
| BSL | Bluescope Steel | 1.33 | 1 per month | 1.73 | 0 | 2.93 | (2.99) | 8.75 | |
| SFR | Sandfire Resources NL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | 0.08 | 3.29 | (2.28) | 9.61 | |
| DEG | De Grey Mining | 0.07 | 2 per month | 1.23 | 0.18 | 4.48 | (2.54) | 32.14 | |
| ATM | Aneka Tambang Tbk | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.40 | (0.97) | 16.07 | |
| PRU | Perseus Mining | (0.02) | 2 per month | 1.90 | 0.08 | 3.14 | (2.70) | 17.15 |
Globe Metals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Globe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Globe using various technical indicators. When you analyze Globe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Globe Metals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Globe Metals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Globe Metals Mining, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Globe Metals based on analysis of Globe Metals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Globe Metals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Globe Metals's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Globe Metals
The number of cover stories for Globe Metals depends on current market conditions and Globe Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Globe Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Globe Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Globe Metals Short Properties
Globe Metals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Globe Metals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Globe Metals Mining often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Globe Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Globe Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 639.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M |
Additional Tools for Globe Stock Analysis
When running Globe Metals' price analysis, check to measure Globe Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Globe Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Globe Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Globe Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Globe Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Globe Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.