Gold Futures Commodity Price Prediction
| GCUSD Commodity | 2,673 21.40 0.81% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Gold Futures hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gold Futures from the perspective of Gold Futures response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gold Futures to buy its commodity at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gold because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell commoditys at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gold Futures after-hype prediction price | USD 2673.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as commodity price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gold |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gold Futures' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gold Futures Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Gold Futures at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gold Futures or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Commodity prices, such as prices of Gold Futures, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gold Futures Commodity Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Commodity such as Gold Futures is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gold Futures backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Commodity price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gold Futures, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2,673 | 2,673 | 0.00 |
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Gold Futures Hype Timeline
Gold Futures is currently traded for 2,673. This commodity is not elastic to its hype. The commodity elasticity to the hype of similar commodities is 0.0. Gold is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gold Futures is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2,673. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any commodity could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.Gold Futures Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gold Futures' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gold Futures' future price movements. Getting to know how Gold Futures' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gold Futures may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MGCUSD | Micro Gold Futures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | (0.03) | 1.21 | (1.28) | 4.36 | |
| OJUSX | Orange Juice | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.67 | 0.02 | 4.23 | (4.09) | 11.04 | |
| PAUSD | Palladium | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.46 | 0.03 | 4.51 | (3.68) | 15.36 | |
| DCUSD | Class III Milk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 0.83 | (0.90) | 21.45 | |
| SIUSD | Silver Futures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.92 | (0) | 3.19 | (3.42) | 9.02 | |
| BZUSD | Brent Crude Oil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.15 | (3.86) | 10.98 | |
| CTUSX | Cotton | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | (0.07) | 2.26 | (1.82) | 6.64 |
Gold Futures Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gold using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Story Coverage note for Gold Futures
The number of cover stories for Gold Futures depends on current market conditions and Gold Futures' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gold Futures is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gold Futures' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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