Defiance Gold Enhanced Etf Price Patterns
| GLDY Etf | 15.95 0.46 2.80% |
Momentum 78
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Defiance Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Defiance Gold Enhanced from the perspective of Defiance Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Defiance Gold to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Defiance because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Defiance Gold after-hype prediction price | USD 15.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Defiance Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Defiance Gold After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Defiance Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Defiance Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Defiance Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Defiance Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Defiance Gold's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Defiance Gold's historical news coverage. Defiance Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.41 and 17.51, respectively. We have considered Defiance Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Defiance Gold is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Defiance Gold Enhanced is based on 3 months time horizon.
Defiance Gold Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Defiance Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Defiance Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Defiance Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.55 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.95 | 15.96 | 0.06 |
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Defiance Gold Hype Timeline
Defiance Gold Enhanced is currently traded for 15.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Defiance is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.96 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Defiance Gold is about 4428.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.95. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Defiance Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Defiance Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Defiance Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Defiance Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Defiance Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Defiance Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PAPI | Morgan Stanley ETF | 0.15 | 2 per month | 0.10 | 0.16 | 1.43 | (0.74) | 2.85 | |
| JAJL | Innovator Equity Defined | 0.05 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.62) | 0.17 | (0.17) | 0.72 | |
| BUSA | 2023 EFT Series | (0.05) | 2 per month | 0.23 | 0.16 | 1.46 | (1.01) | 3.31 | |
| GNOV | FT Cboe Vest | 0.05 | 3 per month | 0.15 | (0.1) | 0.49 | (0.44) | 2.02 | |
| DUBS | Aptus Large Cap | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.92 | (1.35) | 4.34 | |
| UAUG | Innovator Equity Ultra | 0.06 | 3 per month | 0.27 | (0.20) | 0.53 | (0.53) | 1.63 | |
| HOLA | JP Morgan Exchange Traded | 0.06 | 2 per month | 0.44 | 0.02 | 0.89 | (0.92) | 2.58 | |
| GAPR | First Trust Exchange Traded | 0.07 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.43) | 0.28 | (0.20) | 0.73 | |
| BSEP | Innovator SP 500 | (0.12) | 3 per month | 0.46 | (0.12) | 0.86 | (0.78) | 2.31 | |
| KBWY | Invesco KBW Premium | 0.08 | 2 per month | 0.63 | 0.08 | 1.49 | (1.31) | 4.98 |
Defiance Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Defiance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Defiance using various technical indicators. When you analyze Defiance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Defiance Gold Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Defiance Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Defiance Gold Enhanced, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Defiance Gold based on analysis of Defiance Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Defiance Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Defiance Gold's related companies.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Defiance Gold Enhanced offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Defiance Gold's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Defiance Gold Enhanced Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Defiance Gold Enhanced Etf:Check out Defiance Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Understanding Defiance Gold Enhanced requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Defiance's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Defiance Gold's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Defiance Gold's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Defiance Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Defiance Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Defiance Gold's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.