General Motors (Brazil) Price Prediction
| GMCO34 Stock | BRL 81.80 2.66 3.36% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
74
Oversold | Overbought |
Using General Motors hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of General Motors from the perspective of General Motors response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in General Motors to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying General because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
General Motors after-hype prediction price | BRL 81.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
General |
General Motors After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of General Motors at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in General Motors or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of General Motors, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
General Motors Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting General Motors' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on General Motors' historical news coverage. General Motors' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 78.76 and 84.84, respectively. We have considered General Motors' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
General Motors is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of General Motors is based on 3 months time horizon.
General Motors Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as General Motors is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading General Motors backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with General Motors, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
81.80 | 81.80 | 0.00 |
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General Motors Hype Timeline
General Motors is currently traded for 81.80on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. General is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on General Motors is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 81.80. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.83. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. General Motors has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.07. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.11. The firm last dividend was issued on the 2nd of March 2023. General Motors had 4:1 split on the 29th of October 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out General Motors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade General Stock refer to our How to Trade General Stock guide.General Motors Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to General Motors' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict General Motors' future price movements. Getting to know how General Motors' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how General Motors may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TMCO34 | Toyota Motor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.83 | (0.05) | 2.67 | (3.19) | 8.04 | |
| FDMO34 | Ford Motor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.01 | 0.01 | 2.82 | (2.87) | 9.40 | |
| HOND34 | Honda Motor Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.31 | (2.82) | 12.76 | |
| POMO4 | Marcopolo SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.21 | 0.19 | 4.42 | (2.06) | 9.83 | |
| RAPT3 | Randon SA Implementos | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.45 | (0.04) | 2.39 | (2.47) | 9.30 |
General Motors Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine General price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for General using various technical indicators. When you analyze General charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About General Motors Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of General Motors stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as General Motors, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of General Motors based on analysis of General Motors hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to General Motors's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to General Motors's related companies.
Story Coverage note for General Motors
The number of cover stories for General Motors depends on current market conditions and General Motors' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that General Motors is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about General Motors' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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General Motors Short Properties
General Motors' future price predictability will typically decrease when General Motors' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of General Motors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential General Motors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General Motors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B |
Complementary Tools for General Stock analysis
When running General Motors' price analysis, check to measure General Motors' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy General Motors is operating at the current time. Most of General Motors' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of General Motors' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move General Motors' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of General Motors to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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