Gms Inc Stock Price Prediction
| GMS Stock | USD 99.09 0.79 0.80% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.32) | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.36 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.82 | Wall Street Target Price 93 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.14 |
Using GMS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GMS Inc from the perspective of GMS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GMS to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GMS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
GMS after-hype prediction price | USD 99.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GMS |
GMS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GMS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GMS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GMS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GMS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GMS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GMS's historical news coverage. GMS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 97.19 and 100.99, respectively. We have considered GMS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GMS is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GMS Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
GMS Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GMS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GMS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GMS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.92 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
99.09 | 99.09 | 0.00 |
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GMS Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November GMS Inc is traded for 99.09. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. GMS is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on GMS is about 853.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 99.11. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of GMS was currently reported as 37.43. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.73. GMS Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.08. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out GMS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.GMS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GMS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GMS's future price movements. Getting to know how GMS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GMS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NX | Quanex Building Products | (0.14) | 11 per month | 2.56 | 0.02 | 4.43 | (2.75) | 32.55 | |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises | (0.20) | 8 per month | 1.57 | 0.10 | 3.73 | (2.93) | 28.75 | |
| AZEK | Azek Company | 0.97 | 9 per month | 1.44 | 0.1 | 3.56 | (2.33) | 9.05 | |
| BECN | Beacon Roofing Supply | 0.37 | 9 per month | 1.54 | 0.13 | 3.74 | (2.18) | 11.44 | |
| JBI | Janus International Group | 0.1 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.00 | (4.22) | 33.52 | |
| DOOR | Masonite International Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.72 | 0.06 | 3.56 | (3.37) | 10.68 | |
| ROCK | Gibraltar Industries | (0.25) | 7 per month | 1.62 | 0.01 | 2.88 | (2.19) | 8.68 | |
| TILE | Interface | 0.23 | 10 per month | 1.28 | 0.13 | 3.44 | (2.83) | 34.53 | |
| JELD | Jeld Wen Holding | 0.37 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.93 | (5.43) | 37.15 | |
| PPIH | Perma Pipe International Holdings | 0.80 | 6 per month | 2.26 | 0.19 | 9.82 | (4.43) | 35.55 |
GMS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GMS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GMS using various technical indicators. When you analyze GMS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About GMS Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of GMS stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GMS Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GMS based on analysis of GMS hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GMS's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GMS's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 59.07 | 54.26 | 56.39 | 43.55 | PTB Ratio | 1.94 | 1.91 | 2.55 | 2.37 |
Story Coverage note for GMS
The number of cover stories for GMS depends on current market conditions and GMS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GMS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GMS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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GMS Short Properties
GMS's future price predictability will typically decrease when GMS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GMS Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GMS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GMS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 166.1 M |
Additional Tools for GMS Stock Analysis
When running GMS's price analysis, check to measure GMS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GMS is operating at the current time. Most of GMS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GMS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GMS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GMS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.