Graphex Group Limited Stock Price Prediction
| GRFX Stock | USD 0.20 0.01 5.26% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.31) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.26) | Wall Street Target Price 0.4 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.38) |
Using Graphex Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Graphex Group Limited from the perspective of Graphex Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Graphex Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Graphex because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Graphex Group after-hype prediction price | USD 0.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Graphex |
Graphex Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Graphex Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Graphex Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Graphex Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Graphex Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Graphex Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Graphex Group's historical news coverage. Graphex Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 9.99, respectively. We have considered Graphex Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Graphex Group is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Graphex Group Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Graphex Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Graphex Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Graphex Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Graphex Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 9.78 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.20 | 0.21 | 5.00 |
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Graphex Group Hype Timeline
Graphex Group Limited is currently traded for 0.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Graphex is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.21 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 5.0%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Graphex Group is about 537900.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.20. Graphex Group Limited currently holds about 27.29 M in cash with (11.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.01, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Graphex Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Graphex Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Graphex Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Graphex Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Graphex Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Graphex Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LEMIF | Leading Edge Materials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 12.03 | (11.39) | 29.31 | |
| LMMFF | Lithium Australia NL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.09 | 0.12 | 30.43 | (11.39) | 15,344 | |
| ARRRF | Ardea Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.85 | (10.34) | 39.58 | |
| BLSTF | Blackstone Minerals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 23.38 | (16.00) | 27,083 | |
| CYLYF | Ceylon Graphite Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 14.29 | (19.25) | 50.37 | |
| BSRUF | Base Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | |
| MCHHF | Macmahon Holdings Limited | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 4.55 | 0.00 | 31.58 | |
| RKMSF | Rokmaster Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.00 | (13.64) | 97.50 | |
| HUDRF | Hudson Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 28.00 | (33.33) | 150.00 | |
| TGOLF | Thunder Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.43 | 0.10 | 31.80 | (18.84) | 144.33 | |
| PMDRF | Prime Meridian Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.00 |
Graphex Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Graphex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Graphex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Graphex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Graphex Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Graphex Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Graphex Group Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Graphex Group based on analysis of Graphex Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Graphex Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Graphex Group's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 4.7E-5 | 4.5E-5 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.84 | 0.79 |
Story Coverage note for Graphex Group
The number of cover stories for Graphex Group depends on current market conditions and Graphex Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Graphex Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Graphex Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Graphex Group Short Properties
Graphex Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Graphex Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Graphex Group Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Graphex Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Graphex Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 763.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.2 M |
Additional Tools for Graphex Stock Analysis
When running Graphex Group's price analysis, check to measure Graphex Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Graphex Group is operating at the current time. Most of Graphex Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Graphex Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Graphex Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Graphex Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.