Gear Energy Stock Price Prediction

GXE Stock  CAD 0.53  0.01  1.85%   
As of today, the value of relative strength index of Gear Energy's share price is approaching 37. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Gear Energy, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

37

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Gear Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gear Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Gear Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.09
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.12
Wall Street Target Price
0.8333
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.03
Using Gear Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gear Energy from the perspective of Gear Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gear Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gear because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Gear Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 0.52  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Gear Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.473.13
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.020.020.02
Details

Gear Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Gear Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gear Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gear Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Gear Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Gear Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gear Energy's historical news coverage. Gear Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 3.18, respectively. We have considered Gear Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.53
0.52
After-hype Price
3.18
Upside
Gear Energy is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gear Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Gear Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gear Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gear Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gear Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
2.67
  0.01 
 0.00  
3 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.53
0.52
1.89 
13,350  
Notes

Gear Energy Hype Timeline

Gear Energy is currently traded for 0.53on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Gear is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.52. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -1.89%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Gear Energy is about 20025.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.53. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.59. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Gear Energy last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Gear Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Gear Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Gear Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gear Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Gear Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gear Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
YGRYangarra Resources(0.01)1 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.19 (2.91) 8.68 
XHBiShares Canadian HYBrid 0.01 3 per month 0.06 (0.41) 0.46 (0.31) 1.07 
ALA-PAAltagas Cum Red 0.00 0 per month 0.67 (0.18) 1.15 (1.45) 3.73 
ERE-UNEuropean Residential Real 0.02 2 per month 0.75  0.16  3.95 (1.58) 20.23 
RUDBRBC Discount Bond 0.05 1 per month 0.34 (0.25) 0.58 (0.62) 1.96 
XEGiShares SPTSX Capped(0.08)1 per month 1.65 (0.07) 2.20 (2.34) 8.20 
SOLI-PSolid Impact Investments 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FLSAFidelity LongShort Alternative(0.11)2 per month 0.31 (0.05) 0.95 (0.85) 2.60 
EMNTEminent Gold Corp 0.00 2 per month 3.75  0.02  10.71 (6.90) 26.79 

Gear Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gear price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gear using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gear charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Gear Energy Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Gear Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gear Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gear Energy based on analysis of Gear Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gear Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gear Energy's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.150.088
Price To Sales Ratio1.131.65

Story Coverage note for Gear Energy

The number of cover stories for Gear Energy depends on current market conditions and Gear Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gear Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gear Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Gear Energy Short Properties

Gear Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gear Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gear Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gear Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gear Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding263.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.00

Other Information on Investing in Gear Stock

Gear Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gear Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gear with respect to the benefits of owning Gear Energy security.