Hamilton Insurance Group, Stock Price Prediction
| HG Stock | 19.00 0.45 2.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.805 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.73 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.7037 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.736 | Wall Street Target Price 23 |
Using Hamilton Insurance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hamilton Insurance Group, from the perspective of Hamilton Insurance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hamilton Insurance to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hamilton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hamilton Insurance after-hype prediction price | USD 19.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hamilton |
Hamilton Insurance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hamilton Insurance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hamilton Insurance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hamilton Insurance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hamilton Insurance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hamilton Insurance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hamilton Insurance's historical news coverage. Hamilton Insurance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.86 and 21.14, respectively. We have considered Hamilton Insurance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hamilton Insurance is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hamilton Insurance Group, is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hamilton Insurance Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hamilton Insurance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hamilton Insurance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hamilton Insurance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 2.15 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.00 | 19.00 | 0.00 |
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Hamilton Insurance Hype Timeline
As of November 25, 2024 Hamilton Insurance Group, is listed for 19.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Hamilton is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hamilton Insurance is about 96.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.98. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.84. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hamilton Insurance Group, had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Hamilton Insurance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hamilton Insurance Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hamilton Insurance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hamilton Insurance's future price movements. Getting to know how Hamilton Insurance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hamilton Insurance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BNT | Brookfield Wealth Solutions | (1.19) | 4 per month | 1.34 | 0.13 | 2.83 | (1.88) | 9.53 | |
| RGA | Reinsurance Group of | (3.10) | 9 per month | 1.26 | 0.02 | 2.26 | (1.93) | 10.03 | |
| RNR | Renaissancere Holdings | (0.30) | 8 per month | 1.96 | 0.02 | 2.90 | (1.54) | 12.15 | |
| GLRE | Greenlight Capital Re | 0.23 | 8 per month | 1.30 | 0.03 | 3.28 | (2.51) | 12.12 | |
| SPNT-PB | SiriusPoint | (13.23) | 2 per month | 0.13 | (0.39) | 0.44 | (0.36) | 1.27 | |
| OXBRW | Oxbridge Re Holdings | (0.02) | 2 per month | 7.50 | 0.09 | 23.08 | (16.67) | 56.35 | |
| MHLD | Maiden Holdings | (0.14) | 2 per month | 3.26 | (0.03) | 7.06 | (4.94) | 21.08 | |
| AHL-PD | Aspen Insurance Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | (0.05) | 2.49 | (1.90) | 4.81 |
Hamilton Insurance Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hamilton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hamilton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hamilton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Hamilton Insurance Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hamilton Insurance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hamilton Insurance Group,, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hamilton Insurance based on analysis of Hamilton Insurance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hamilton Insurance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hamilton Insurance's related companies. | 2010 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 819.07 | 737.16 | 655.26 | PTB Ratio | 0.86 | 0.8 | 0.98 |
Story Coverage note for Hamilton Insurance
The number of cover stories for Hamilton Insurance depends on current market conditions and Hamilton Insurance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hamilton Insurance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hamilton Insurance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hamilton Insurance Short Properties
Hamilton Insurance's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hamilton Insurance's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hamilton Insurance Group, often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hamilton Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hamilton Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 110.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Complementary Tools for Hamilton Stock analysis
When running Hamilton Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Hamilton Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hamilton Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Hamilton Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hamilton Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hamilton Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hamilton Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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