Highlight Communications (Germany) Price Prediction
| HLG Stock | 1.08 0.03 2.86% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Highlight Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Highlight Communications AG from the perspective of Highlight Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Highlight Communications to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Highlight because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Highlight Communications after-hype prediction price | EUR 1.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Highlight |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Highlight Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Highlight Communications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Highlight Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Highlight Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Highlight Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Highlight Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Highlight Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Highlight Communications' historical news coverage. Highlight Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 5.23, respectively. We have considered Highlight Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Highlight Communications is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Highlight Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.
Highlight Communications Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Highlight Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Highlight Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Highlight Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.69 | 4.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.08 | 1.07 | 0.00 |
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Highlight Communications Hype Timeline
Highlight Communications is currently traded for 1.08on XETRA Stock Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Highlight is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.69%. %. The volatility of related hype on Highlight Communications is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.08. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.19. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Highlight Communications last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2017. The entity had 5:1 split on the 3rd of April 2000. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Highlight Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Highlight Communications Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Highlight Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Highlight Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Highlight Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Highlight Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WDP | The Walt Disney | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.53 | 0.21 | 3.03 | (1.59) | 9.15 | |
| 8SP | Superior Plus Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.38 | (4.74) | 20.22 | |
| 6NM | NMI Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.76 | (0.02) | 2.79 | (2.69) | 9.64 | |
| 39O1 | Origin Agritech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.51 | 0.03 | 8.41 | (5.38) | 34.42 | |
| 2DG | SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 6.45 | (8.57) | 52.42 | |
| TLX | Talanx AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | (0.06) | 2.67 | (1.64) | 7.58 | |
| TM9 | NorAm Drilling AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.26 | (0.02) | 5.56 | (6.43) | 36.50 | |
| INVN | Identiv | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.54 | 0.04 | 5.61 | (4.98) | 14.01 |
Highlight Communications Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Highlight price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Highlight using various technical indicators. When you analyze Highlight charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Highlight Communications Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Highlight Communications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Highlight Communications AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Highlight Communications based on analysis of Highlight Communications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Highlight Communications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Highlight Communications's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Highlight Communications
The number of cover stories for Highlight Communications depends on current market conditions and Highlight Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Highlight Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Highlight Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Highlight Communications Short Properties
Highlight Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Highlight Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Highlight Communications AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Highlight Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Highlight Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 53.4 M |
Additional Tools for Highlight Stock Analysis
When running Highlight Communications' price analysis, check to measure Highlight Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Highlight Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Highlight Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Highlight Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Highlight Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Highlight Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.