ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES (Germany) Price Prediction
| HNM Stock | 77.82 1.72 2.26% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
70
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES from the perspective of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ORMAT because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES after-hype prediction price | EUR 77.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ORMAT |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's historical news coverage. ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 76.52 and 79.12, respectively. We have considered ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES is based on 3 months time horizon.
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
77.82 | 77.82 | 0.00 |
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ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES Hype Timeline
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES is currently traded for 77.82on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ORMAT is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 77.82. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy ORMAT Stock please use our How to Invest in ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES guide.ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's future price movements. Getting to know how ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.36 | 0.01 | 2.28 | (2.21) | 6.17 | |
| APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.01 | 1.91 | (2.15) | 7.12 | |
| APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | (0) | 2.96 | (2.05) | 8.21 | |
| MSF | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.34 | (0.01) | 2.20 | (1.85) | 9.25 | |
| MSF | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | (0.01) | 2.27 | (1.75) | 9.11 |
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ORMAT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ORMAT using various technical indicators. When you analyze ORMAT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES based on analysis of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's related companies.
Story Coverage note for ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES
The number of cover stories for ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES depends on current market conditions and ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES Short Properties
ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's future price predictability will typically decrease when ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 181.8 M |
Additional Tools for ORMAT Stock Analysis
When running ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's price analysis, check to measure ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES is operating at the current time. Most of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.