Island Concepts (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| ICON Stock | IDR 34.00 1.00 2.86% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Island Concepts hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Island Concepts Indonesia from the perspective of Island Concepts response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Island Concepts to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Island because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Island Concepts after-hype prediction price | IDR 34.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Island |
Island Concepts After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Island Concepts at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Island Concepts or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Island Concepts, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Island Concepts Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Island Concepts' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Island Concepts' historical news coverage. Island Concepts' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.31 and 36.69, respectively. We have considered Island Concepts' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Island Concepts is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Island Concepts Indonesia is based on 3 months time horizon.
Island Concepts Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Island Concepts is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Island Concepts backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Island Concepts, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
34.00 | 34.00 | 0.00 |
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Island Concepts Hype Timeline
Island Concepts Indonesia is currently traded for 34.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Island is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Island Concepts is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.00. About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.29. Island Concepts Indonesia last dividend was issued on the 16th of June 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Island Concepts Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Island Concepts Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Island Concepts' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Island Concepts' future price movements. Getting to know how Island Concepts' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Island Concepts may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LPCK | Lippo Cikarang Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.36 | (4.52) | 21.54 | |
| LPKR | Lippo Karawaci Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.84 | 0.10 | 7.95 | (5.61) | 26.25 | |
| DILD | Intiland Development Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.97 | (3.03) | 8.41 | |
| MPMX | Mitra Pinasthika Mustika | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 0.51 | (0.98) | 2.48 | |
| JIHD | Jakarta Int Hotels | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.01 | 0.39 | 24.74 | (5.03) | 34.81 | |
| TECH | Indosterling Technomedia Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ISAT | Indosat Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.12 | (5.74) | 79.95 | |
| BBNI | Bank Negara Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.73 | (2.68) | 8.76 | |
| CASA | Capital Financial Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.09 | (0.02) | 3.60 | (2.86) | 21.12 | |
| INOV | Inocycle Technology Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.07 | (0.03) | 3.19 | (4.04) | 22.27 |
Island Concepts Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Island price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Island using various technical indicators. When you analyze Island charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Island Concepts Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Island Concepts stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Island Concepts Indonesia, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Island Concepts based on analysis of Island Concepts hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Island Concepts's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Island Concepts's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Island Concepts
The number of cover stories for Island Concepts depends on current market conditions and Island Concepts' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Island Concepts is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Island Concepts' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Island Concepts Short Properties
Island Concepts' future price predictability will typically decrease when Island Concepts' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Island Concepts Indonesia often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Island Concepts' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Island Concepts' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.8 B |
Other Information on Investing in Island Stock
Island Concepts financial ratios help investors to determine whether Island Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Island with respect to the benefits of owning Island Concepts security.