ITV Plc (Germany) Price Prediction
| IJ7 Stock | EUR 0.74 0.01 1.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
24
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ITV Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ITV plc from the perspective of ITV Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ITV Plc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ITV because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ITV Plc after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ITV |
ITV Plc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ITV Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ITV Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ITV Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ITV Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ITV Plc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ITV Plc's historical news coverage. ITV Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 3.20, respectively. We have considered ITV Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ITV Plc is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ITV plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
ITV Plc Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ITV Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ITV Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ITV Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 2.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.74 | 0.74 | 0.00 |
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ITV Plc Hype Timeline
ITV plc is currently traded for 0.74on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ITV is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on ITV Plc is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.74. About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.69. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ITV plc last dividend was issued on the 20th of October 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out ITV Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ITV Plc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ITV Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ITV Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how ITV Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ITV Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AFG | American Eagle Outfitters | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.89 | (4.05) | 10.58 | |
| SQE | Strategic Education | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | (0.01) | 1.91 | (2.38) | 17.99 | |
| SQE | STRAYER EDUCATION | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | (0.01) | 1.92 | (1.87) | 9.39 | |
| CDE | Coeur Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | (0.03) | 2.27 | (2.16) | 6.03 | |
| P4Q | Perseus Mining Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.24 | (0.01) | 3.85 | (3.61) | 14.33 | |
| GKD | Grand Canyon Education | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | 0.09 | 2.46 | (2.36) | 18.39 | |
| 51A | American Public Education | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.32 | 0.14 | 4.84 | (3.88) | 19.56 |
ITV Plc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ITV price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ITV using various technical indicators. When you analyze ITV charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ITV Plc Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ITV Plc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ITV plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ITV Plc based on analysis of ITV Plc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ITV Plc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ITV Plc's related companies.
Story Coverage note for ITV Plc
The number of cover stories for ITV Plc depends on current market conditions and ITV Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ITV Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ITV Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ITV Plc Short Properties
ITV Plc's future price predictability will typically decrease when ITV Plc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ITV plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ITV Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ITV Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4 B |
Complementary Tools for ITV Stock analysis
When running ITV Plc's price analysis, check to measure ITV Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ITV Plc is operating at the current time. Most of ITV Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ITV Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ITV Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ITV Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
| Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories |