Intertek Group Plc Stock Price Prediction
| IKTSF Stock | USD 55.44 0.26 0.47% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
15
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Intertek Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intertek Group plc from the perspective of Intertek Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Intertek Group to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Intertek because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Intertek Group after-hype prediction price | USD 55.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Intertek |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intertek Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intertek Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Intertek Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intertek Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Intertek Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Intertek Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Intertek Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intertek Group's historical news coverage. Intertek Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 53.38 and 57.50, respectively. We have considered Intertek Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Intertek Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intertek Group plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Intertek Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intertek Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intertek Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intertek Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
55.44 | 55.44 | 0.00 |
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Intertek Group Hype Timeline
Intertek Group plc is currently traded for 55.44. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Intertek is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Intertek Group is about 7923.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.44. About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.1. Intertek Group plc last dividend was issued on the 15th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Intertek Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Intertek Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Intertek Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intertek Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Intertek Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intertek Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MMS | Maximus | 0.14 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 1.76 | (2.50) | 10.19 | |
| NTIP | Network 1 Technologies | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.88 | (4.37) | 32.25 | |
| FA | First Advantage Corp | (2.21) | 9 per month | 1.57 | (0.04) | 2.96 | (3.01) | 9.66 | |
| BV | BrightView Holdings | (0.93) | 9 per month | 2.70 | 0.02 | 3.55 | (2.88) | 19.91 | |
| CVEO | Civeo Corp | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.24 | (3.21) | 11.81 | |
| KMX | CarMax Inc | 0.05 | 9 per month | 1.77 | (0.06) | 4.14 | (3.24) | 8.69 | |
| CTAS | Cintas | (5.94) | 11 per month | 0.91 | 0.06 | 1.74 | (1.44) | 6.78 | |
| LAD | Lithia Motors | 8.29 | 11 per month | 1.54 | 0.16 | 4.90 | (3.18) | 13.35 | |
| AN | AutoNation | 0.61 | 8 per month | 1.96 | (0.06) | 3.73 | (3.00) | 8.95 | |
| GPN | Global Payments | 0.22 | 10 per month | 1.98 | (0.0005) | 3.43 | (2.71) | 9.86 |
Intertek Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Intertek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intertek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intertek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Intertek Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Intertek Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Intertek Group plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Intertek Group based on analysis of Intertek Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Intertek Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Intertek Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Intertek Group
The number of cover stories for Intertek Group depends on current market conditions and Intertek Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intertek Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intertek Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Intertek Group Short Properties
Intertek Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Intertek Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Intertek Group plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Intertek Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intertek Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 161.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Intertek Pink Sheet analysis
When running Intertek Group's price analysis, check to measure Intertek Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intertek Group is operating at the current time. Most of Intertek Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intertek Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intertek Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intertek Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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