Ishares Lithium Miners Etf Price Prediction
| ILIT Etf | 9.20 0.10 1.10% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Using IShares Lithium hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of iShares Lithium Miners from the perspective of IShares Lithium response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards IShares Lithium using IShares Lithium's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards IShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of IShares Lithium's stock price.
IShares Lithium Implied Volatility | 1.02 |
IShares Lithium's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of iShares Lithium Miners stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if IShares Lithium's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that IShares Lithium stock will not fluctuate a lot when IShares Lithium's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in IShares Lithium to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying IShares because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
IShares Lithium after-hype prediction price | USD 9.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current IShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that iShares Lithium Miners will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0638% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With IShares Lithium trading at USD 9.2, that is roughly USD 0.005865 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating IShares Lithium's daily price movement you should consider acquiring iShares Lithium Miners options at the current volatility level of 1.02%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
IShares |
IShares Lithium After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IShares Lithium at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IShares Lithium or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of IShares Lithium, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IShares Lithium Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IShares Lithium's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IShares Lithium's historical news coverage. IShares Lithium's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.22 and 11.18, respectively. We have considered IShares Lithium's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IShares Lithium is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iShares Lithium Miners is based on 3 months time horizon.
IShares Lithium Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as IShares Lithium is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IShares Lithium backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IShares Lithium, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.98 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.20 | 9.20 | 0.00 |
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IShares Lithium Hype Timeline
iShares Lithium Miners is currently traded for 9.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. IShares is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on IShares Lithium is about 1394.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.16. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out IShares Lithium Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.IShares Lithium Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IShares Lithium's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IShares Lithium's future price movements. Getting to know how IShares Lithium's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IShares Lithium may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EV | Mast Global Battery | (0.1) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.81 | (2.16) | 6.73 | |
| XLB | Materials Select Sector | (0.75) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.25 | (1.32) | 4.22 | |
| VAW | Vanguard Materials Index | (1.31) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.33 | (1.28) | 5.34 | |
| XME | SPDR SP Metals | (0.71) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.06 | (2.49) | 11.87 | |
| PHO | Invesco Water Resources | 0.63 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.42 | (1.34) | 6.05 | |
| MOO | VanEck Agribusiness ETF | 0.87 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.18 | (1.39) | 4.55 | |
| FXZ | First Trust Materials | 0.52 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.54 | (1.60) | 7.34 | |
| FIW | First Trust Water | (0.23) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.43 | (1.51) | 5.94 | |
| URNM | Sprott Uranium Miners | 1.18 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.81 | (3.21) | 17.49 | |
| IYM | iShares Basic Materials | (1.52) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.03 | (1.52) | 5.07 |
IShares Lithium Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze IShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About IShares Lithium Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of IShares Lithium stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as iShares Lithium Miners, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of IShares Lithium based on analysis of IShares Lithium hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to IShares Lithium's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to IShares Lithium's related companies.
Story Coverage note for IShares Lithium
The number of cover stories for IShares Lithium depends on current market conditions and IShares Lithium's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IShares Lithium is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IShares Lithium's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out IShares Lithium Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
The market value of iShares Lithium Miners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IShares Lithium's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IShares Lithium's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IShares Lithium's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IShares Lithium's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IShares Lithium's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IShares Lithium is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IShares Lithium's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.