Iluka Resources (Australia) Price Prediction
| ILU Stock | 5.55 0.13 2.40% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
35
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.5044 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.5625 | Wall Street Target Price 7.0864 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
Using Iluka Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Iluka Resources from the perspective of Iluka Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Iluka Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Iluka because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Iluka Resources after-hype prediction price | AUD 5.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Iluka |
Iluka Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Iluka Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Iluka Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Iluka Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Iluka Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Iluka Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Iluka Resources' historical news coverage. Iluka Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.20 and 7.64, respectively. We have considered Iluka Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Iluka Resources is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Iluka Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Iluka Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Iluka Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Iluka Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Iluka Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.55 | 5.42 | 0.00 |
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Iluka Resources Hype Timeline
Iluka Resources is currently traded for 5.55on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Iluka is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Iluka Resources is about 8939.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.55. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.02. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Iluka Resources last dividend was issued on the 3rd of September 2024. The entity had 1.124:1 split on the 19th of March 2008. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Iluka Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Iluka Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Iluka Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Iluka Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Iluka Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Iluka Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KME | Kip McGrath Education | 0.00 | 1 per month | 2.09 | 0.03 | 4.55 | (4.65) | 15.15 | |
| HTA | Hutchison Telecommunications | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.00 | (9.09) | 31.55 | |
| CQR | Charter Hall Retail | (0.04) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.66 | (1.92) | 4.51 | |
| IRD | Iron Road | 0 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.06 | (6.25) | 17.49 | |
| SRH | Saferoads Holdings | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TPG | TPG Telecom | (0.11) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.88 | (1.66) | 12.35 |
Iluka Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Iluka price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Iluka using various technical indicators. When you analyze Iluka charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Iluka Resources Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Iluka Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Iluka Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Iluka Resources based on analysis of Iluka Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Iluka Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Iluka Resources's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Iluka Resources
The number of cover stories for Iluka Resources depends on current market conditions and Iluka Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Iluka Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Iluka Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Iluka Resources Short Properties
Iluka Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Iluka Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Iluka Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Iluka Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Iluka Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 429.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 364.9 M |
Additional Tools for Iluka Stock Analysis
When running Iluka Resources' price analysis, check to measure Iluka Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Iluka Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Iluka Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Iluka Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Iluka Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Iluka Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.