Income Financial Trust Stock Price Prediction

INC-UN Stock  CAD 9.00  0.22  2.51%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Income Financial's the stock price is about 64. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Income, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

64

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Income Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Income Financial Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Income Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.061
Using Income Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Income Financial Trust from the perspective of Income Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Income Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Income because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Income Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 9.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Income Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Income Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.448.669.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.708.9210.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.468.769.05
Details

Income Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Income Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Income Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Income Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Income Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Income Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Income Financial's historical news coverage. Income Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.79 and 10.23, respectively. We have considered Income Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.00
9.01
After-hype Price
10.23
Upside
Income Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Income Financial Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.

Income Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Income Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Income Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Income Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
1.22
  0.01 
 0.00  
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.00
9.01
0.11 
2,440  
Notes

Income Financial Hype Timeline

Income Financial Trust is currently traded for 9.00on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Income is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Income Financial is about 7625.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.00. The company reported the revenue of 1.4 M. Net Income was 1.12 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.49 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Income Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Income Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Income Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Income Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Income Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Income Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Income Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Income price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Income using various technical indicators. When you analyze Income charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Income Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Income Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Income Financial Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Income Financial based on analysis of Income Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Income Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Income Financial's related companies.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
PTB Ratio1.711.040.9
Dividend Yield0.08460.140.088

Story Coverage note for Income Financial

The number of cover stories for Income Financial depends on current market conditions and Income Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Income Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Income Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Income Financial Short Properties

Income Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Income Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Income Financial Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Income Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Income Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 M

Complementary Tools for Income Stock analysis

When running Income Financial's price analysis, check to measure Income Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Income Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Income Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Income Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Income Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Income Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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