Informatica Stock Price Prediction

INFA Stock  USD 26.45  0.59  2.28%   
At this time, the relative strength indicator of Informatica's share price is approaching 41. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Informatica, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

41

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Informatica's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Informatica, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Informatica's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.39
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.1063
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.218
Wall Street Target Price
32.89
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.3
Using Informatica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Informatica from the perspective of Informatica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Informatica Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Informatica's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Informatica. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Informatica can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Informatica. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Informatica's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Informatica.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Informatica to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Informatica because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Informatica after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Informatica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Informatica Stock refer to our How to Trade Informatica Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.4624.6426.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.1627.3329.51
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.1623.2525.81
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.270.280.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Informatica. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Informatica's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Informatica's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Informatica.

Informatica After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Informatica at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Informatica or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Informatica, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Informatica Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Informatica's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Informatica's historical news coverage. Informatica's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.23 and 28.59, respectively. We have considered Informatica's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
26.45
26.41
After-hype Price
28.59
Upside
Informatica is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Informatica is based on 3 months time horizon.

Informatica Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Informatica is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Informatica backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Informatica, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
2.18
  0.04 
  0.04 
12 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
26.45
26.41
0.15 
605.56  
Notes

Informatica Hype Timeline

Informatica is currently traded for 26.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Informatica is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 26.41. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Informatica is about 681.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.49. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Informatica was currently reported as 7.89. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.67. Informatica had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the December 14, 2000. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Informatica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Informatica Stock refer to our How to Trade Informatica Stock guide.

Informatica Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Informatica's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Informatica's future price movements. Getting to know how Informatica's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Informatica may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ESMTEngageSmart LLC 0.00 0 per month 1.90  0  3.90 (2.93) 9.34 
EVTCEvertec 0.70 8 per month 1.46  0.03  2.43 (2.30) 7.67 
BASECouchbase 0.15 10 per month 3.65  0.04  5.12 (4.51) 20.08 
FLYWFlywire Corp 0.25 8 per month 1.74  0.13  5.02 (2.85) 19.12 
IIIVi3 Verticals 0.79 7 per month 1.94  0.02  3.23 (3.03) 10.92 
EVCMEverCommerce(0.17)8 per month 1.67  0.04  3.46 (2.45) 13.03 
IMXIInternational Money Express 0.13 8 per month 1.22  0.11  3.03 (1.76) 13.65 
NTCTNetScout Systems 0.33 11 per month 1.77 (0.01) 3.23 (2.84) 10.35 
CSGSCSG Systems International 2.36 9 per month 0.87  0.10  2.65 (1.69) 10.94 
CCSIConsensus Cloud Solutions(0.30)7 per month 2.38  0.03  6.28 (3.62) 20.68 
STERSterling Check Corp(0.06)7 per month 0.93 (0.01) 1.77 (1.22) 7.04 
SCWXSecureworks Corp(0.07)8 per month 2.76  0.04  7.68 (5.68) 29.19 
FORGForgeRock 0.05 5 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.78 (1.49) 6.71 

Informatica Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Informatica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Informatica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Informatica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Informatica Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Informatica stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Informatica, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Informatica based on analysis of Informatica hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Informatica's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Informatica's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding136.88133.37132.7148.28
PTB Ratio5.192.233.75.34

Story Coverage note for Informatica

The number of cover stories for Informatica depends on current market conditions and Informatica's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Informatica is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Informatica's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Informatica Short Properties

Informatica's future price predictability will typically decrease when Informatica's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Informatica often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Informatica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Informatica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding288.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments992.3 M

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When running Informatica's price analysis, check to measure Informatica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Informatica is operating at the current time. Most of Informatica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Informatica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Informatica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Informatica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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