Inspire Medical Systems Stock Price Prediction
| INSP Stock | USD 177.68 3.85 2.21% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.682 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.67 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.3235 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.9134 | Wall Street Target Price 239.6 |
Using Inspire Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Inspire Medical Systems from the perspective of Inspire Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Inspire Medical using Inspire Medical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Inspire using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Inspire Medical's stock price.
Inspire Medical Implied Volatility | 0.73 |
Inspire Medical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Inspire Medical Systems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Inspire Medical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Inspire Medical stock will not fluctuate a lot when Inspire Medical's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Inspire Medical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Inspire because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Inspire Medical after-hype prediction price | USD 177.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Inspire contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Inspire Medical Systems will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0456% per day over the life of the 2025-02-21 option contract. With Inspire Medical trading at USD 177.68, that is roughly USD 0.0811 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Inspire Medical's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Inspire Medical Systems options at the current volatility level of 0.73%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Inspire |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inspire Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Inspire Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Inspire Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Inspire Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Inspire Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Inspire Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Inspire Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Inspire Medical's historical news coverage. Inspire Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 174.13 and 180.67, respectively. We have considered Inspire Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Inspire Medical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Inspire Medical Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Inspire Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Inspire Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Inspire Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Inspire Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 3.27 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 10 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
177.68 | 177.40 | 0.16 |
|
Inspire Medical Hype Timeline
Inspire Medical Systems is currently traded for 177.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.29. Inspire is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 177.4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Inspire Medical is about 192.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 177.97. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the January 9, 2008. Inspire Medical Systems had 1:10 split on the September 13, 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Inspire Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Inspire Medical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Inspire Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Inspire Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Inspire Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Inspire Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TMDX | TransMedics Group | 5.88 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.18 | (8.25) | 32.71 | |
| NARI | Inari Medical | 15.23 | 7 per month | 1.52 | 0.21 | 6.43 | (3.87) | 30.79 | |
| INMD | InMode | (1.25) | 8 per month | 2.66 | 0.01 | 2.99 | (4.42) | 15.64 | |
| PODD | Insulet | (1.49) | 11 per month | 0.88 | 0.13 | 3.65 | (1.72) | 12.33 | |
| SWAV | Shockwave Medical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.04 | 0.02 | 3.76 | (3.16) | 16.22 | |
| GKOS | Glaukos Corp | (2.52) | 11 per month | 1.62 | 0.14 | 4.77 | (2.98) | 13.23 | |
| TNDM | Tandem Diabetes Care | 3.25 | 11 per month | 3.32 | 0.02 | 6.14 | (4.81) | 14.41 | |
| DXCM | DexCom Inc | 0.68 | 10 per month | 1.45 | 0.15 | 5.52 | (2.79) | 10.13 | |
| PEN | Penumbra | 1.75 | 12 per month | 1.29 | 0.19 | 4.02 | (2.56) | 11.81 | |
| OM | Outset Medical | (0.01) | 9 per month | 5.73 | 0.1 | 10.53 | (10.91) | 43.06 | |
| CLPT | Clearpoint Neuro | (0.76) | 8 per month | 3.54 | 0.11 | 7.38 | (5.92) | 24.80 | |
| GMED | Globus Medical | 0.93 | 9 per month | 0.67 | 0.23 | 2.80 | (1.74) | 11.43 | |
| NVCR | Novocure | 0.41 | 11 per month | 3.54 | 0.13 | 10.12 | (5.46) | 57.95 |
Inspire Medical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Inspire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Inspire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Inspire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Inspire Medical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Inspire Medical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Inspire Medical Systems, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Inspire Medical based on analysis of Inspire Medical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Inspire Medical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Inspire Medical's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 2.46 | 2.49 | 2.86 | 2.97 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 65.62 | 128.07 | 147.27 | 185.26 |
Story Coverage note for Inspire Medical
The number of cover stories for Inspire Medical depends on current market conditions and Inspire Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Inspire Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Inspire Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Inspire Medical Short Properties
Inspire Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Inspire Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Inspire Medical Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Inspire Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inspire Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 460.4 M |
Additional Tools for Inspire Stock Analysis
When running Inspire Medical's price analysis, check to measure Inspire Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inspire Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Inspire Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inspire Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inspire Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inspire Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.