Judo Capital (Australia) Price Prediction

JDO Stock   2.00  0.01  0.50%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Judo Capital's stock price is slightly above 67. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Judo, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

67

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Judo Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Judo Capital Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Judo Capital's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.33)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.06
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.07
Wall Street Target Price
1.742
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Using Judo Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Judo Capital Holdings from the perspective of Judo Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Judo Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Judo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Judo Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 2.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Judo Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.552.223.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.382.053.71
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.010.020.02
Details

Judo Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Judo Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Judo Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Judo Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Judo Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Judo Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Judo Capital's historical news coverage. Judo Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.34 and 3.68, respectively. We have considered Judo Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.00
2.01
After-hype Price
3.68
Upside
Judo Capital is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Judo Capital Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Judo Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Judo Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Judo Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Judo Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.28 
1.67
  0.01 
 0.00  
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.00
2.01
0.50 
5,567  
Notes

Judo Capital Hype Timeline

Judo Capital Holdings is currently traded for 2.00on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Judo is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Judo Capital is about 24439.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.00. The company reported the revenue of 326.6 M. Net Income was 69.9 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 298.4 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Judo Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Judo Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Judo Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Judo Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Judo Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Judo Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AKPAudio Pixels Holdings 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
IODIodm(0.01)1 per month 0.00 (0.07) 6.25 (5.88) 22.88 
NSXNsx(0)1 per month 5.18  0.17  17.39 (10.26) 44.76 
FTCTTG Fintech 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.01) 0.00  0.00  34.29 
MTLMantle Minerals Limited 0.0005 3 per month 12.68  0.07  33.33 (25.00) 133.33 
LHMLand Homes Group 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
REGRegis Healthcare(0.05)3 per month 1.20  0.16  4.04 (2.56) 10.34 
HORHorseshoe Metals(0)1 per month 6.41  0.13  25.00 (14.29) 56.67 
RCERecce 0.00 3 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.26 (5.56) 15.39 

Judo Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Judo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Judo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Judo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Judo Capital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Judo Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Judo Capital Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Judo Capital based on analysis of Judo Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Judo Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Judo Capital's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Judo Capital

The number of cover stories for Judo Capital depends on current market conditions and Judo Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Judo Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Judo Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Judo Capital Short Properties

Judo Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Judo Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Judo Capital Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Judo Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Judo Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments654.6 M

Additional Tools for Judo Stock Analysis

When running Judo Capital's price analysis, check to measure Judo Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Judo Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Judo Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Judo Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Judo Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Judo Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.