John Hancock Income Stock Price Prediction

JHS Stock  USD 11.47  0.07  0.61%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of John Hancock's share price is approaching 46. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling John Hancock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of John Hancock's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of John Hancock and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from John Hancock's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with John Hancock Income, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting John Hancock's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.77)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.197
Using John Hancock hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of John Hancock Income from the perspective of John Hancock response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in John Hancock to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying John because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

John Hancock after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.47  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out John Hancock Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0611.5111.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.0811.5211.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.3511.4511.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as John Hancock. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against John Hancock's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, John Hancock's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in John Hancock Income.

John Hancock After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of John Hancock at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in John Hancock or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of John Hancock, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

John Hancock Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting John Hancock's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on John Hancock's historical news coverage. John Hancock's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.02 and 11.92, respectively. We have considered John Hancock's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.47
11.47
After-hype Price
11.92
Upside
John Hancock is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of John Hancock Income is based on 3 months time horizon.

John Hancock Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as John Hancock is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading John Hancock backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with John Hancock, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
0.45
 0.00  
 0.00  
2 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.47
11.47
0.00 
236.84  
Notes

John Hancock Hype Timeline

On the 25th of November John Hancock Income is traded for 11.47. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. John is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on John Hancock is about 4950.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.47. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.98. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. John Hancock Income last dividend was issued on the 13th of September 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out John Hancock Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

John Hancock Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to John Hancock's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict John Hancock's future price movements. Getting to know how John Hancock's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how John Hancock may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CXEMFS High Income 0.06 5 per month 0.58 (0.19) 1.33 (1.04) 3.34 
CXHMFS Investment Grade(0.01)6 per month 0.42 (0.25) 0.62 (0.74) 2.10 
CBHCBH(0.01)2 per month 0.00 (0.51) 0.22 (0.22) 0.78 
MHDBlackrock Muniholdings Closed(0.02)4 per month 0.72 (0.19) 0.88 (1.14) 3.11 
EOTEaton Vance National 0.08 6 per month 0.42 (0.26) 0.75 (0.87) 2.08 
IHTAInvesco High Income 0.02 1 per month 0.26 (0.19) 0.68 (0.28) 2.03 
MHNBlackrock Muniholdings Ny(0.01)3 per month 0.62 (0.21) 0.75 (1.03) 2.69 
NXCNuveen California Select(0.09)4 per month 0.00 (0.26) 0.94 (0.94) 2.82 
FMNFederated Premier Municipal(0.09)2 per month 0.00 (0.26) 1.07 (1.49) 5.10 
IHITIHIT 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.27) 1.07 (1.18) 2.70 
JHAANuveen High Income(0.03)3 per month 0.00 (0.52) 0.33 (0.22) 0.96 

John Hancock Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine John price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for John using various technical indicators. When you analyze John charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About John Hancock Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of John Hancock stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as John Hancock Income, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of John Hancock based on analysis of John Hancock hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to John Hancock's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to John Hancock's related companies.
 2020 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Payables Turnover0.120.08160.09390.0892
Days Of Inventory On Hand4.0K5.7K5.1K5.4K

Story Coverage note for John Hancock

The number of cover stories for John Hancock depends on current market conditions and John Hancock's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that John Hancock is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about John Hancock's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

John Hancock Short Properties

John Hancock's future price predictability will typically decrease when John Hancock's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of John Hancock Income often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential John Hancock's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. John Hancock's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments36.6 K

Additional Tools for John Stock Analysis

When running John Hancock's price analysis, check to measure John Hancock's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy John Hancock is operating at the current time. Most of John Hancock's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of John Hancock's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move John Hancock's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of John Hancock to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.